UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis
Norfolk, USA
11 Nov 2017
Lightweight
VS
77%
Poirier
23%
Pettis
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:08
Dustin
Dustin Poirier
"The Diamond"
30 – 10
5'9"72" reachSouthpaw37 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 61
AP
Anthony Pettis
"Showtime"
24 – 10
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak39 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'10"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Poirier

Poirier is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 43 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Poirier has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Poirier's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Pettis has a chin rating of 12 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Poirier
Pettis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
72"
Reach
72"
37+
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Poirier
Pettis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
61.4
18.8
58.2
Performance Avg
52.6
50
Quality of Victory
51
100
Momentum Score
72
Poirier
Pettis
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.2
54%
Strike Accuracy
52%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.8
10 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Poirier
Pettis
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.8
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Poirier
Pettis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
12
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
4
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.7 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/40 fights
Chin rating based on
20/34 fights
Poirier
Pettis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
72
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Poirier
Pettis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
64%
10
KO / TKO Wins
3
4
Submission Wins
4
8
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Poirier
Pettis
Striking6.0 / 3.8Volume4.0 / 4.0Grappling2.2 / 3.8Wrestling1.6 / 2.6Submission1.8 / 3.6Pressure6.6 / 6.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.8
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.6
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
Poirier
Strike Zones
Pettis
Poirier
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Pettis
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Poirier targets the head (100% of attacks) — Pettis absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Pettis targets the body (100% of attacks) — Poirier absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Poirier
RND
Pettis
0/0R00/0

Poirier · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W4.5W5.2W6.1W3.9L5.0W6.0L4.5W5.0W5.2W3.5L6.0W5.0W4.5W5.7W1.6L4.9W5.2W6.9W5.1W5.6W2.8L5.4W7.1W6.0W4.2L6.3W3.7L6.9W6.0L6.6L2011-012013-122017-022021-072025-07
WinLossTrend

Pettis · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0106.0L5.0W5.0W5.0W5.0W5.1W5.7L5.5L6.0L6.9W3.8L4.9W4.1L6.0W3.3L5.7W5.5L3.8L4.5W4.5W2011-062014-122016-122019-032020-12
WinLossTrend

Poirier · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Max HollowayRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Sub · R5
Islam MakhachevRating 6
Submission
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
W · KO · R2
Benoit Saint DenisRating 6.9
KO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · KO · R2
Justin GaethjeRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
W · Sub · R3
Michael ChandlerRating 6.3
Submission
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11

Pettis · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal · 2020-12
W · Dec · R3
Donald CerroneRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · Sub · R2
Diego FerreiraRating 3.8
Submission
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01
L · Dec · R3
Nate DiazRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
W · KO · R2
Stephen ThompsonRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03

News & Media

Dustin Poirier · Anthony Pettis
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