METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis
Norfolk, USA
11 Nov 2017
Lightweight
VS
77%
Poirier
23%
Pettis
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:08
★ Official Result
Dustin PoirierwinsKO/TKOR3 · 2:08
def. Anthony Pettis · UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Poirier
→
Actual result
Poirier wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Poirier is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 43 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Poirier's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pettis has a chin rating of 12 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PoirierPettis
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Poirier
Pettis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
72"
Reach
72"
37+
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Poirier
Pettis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
61.4
18.8
58.2
Performance Avg
52.6
50
Quality of Victory
51
100
Momentum Score
72
Poirier
Pettis
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.0
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
6.6
Style: Pressure
6.1
4.0
Style: Volume
4.0
10 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Poirier
Pettis
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
1.8
Submission Style (/10)
3.6
4
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Poirier
Pettis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
12
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
4
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.7 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/40 fights
Chin rating based on
20/34 fights
Poirier
Pettis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
72
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Poirier
Pettis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
64%
10
KO / TKO Wins
3
4
Submission Wins
4
8
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Poirier
Pettis
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.8
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.6
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
PoirierPettis
Strike Zones
Poirier
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedPettis
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Poirier targets the head (100% of attacks) — Pettis absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Pettis targets the body (100% of attacks) — Poirier absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Poirier
RND
Pettis
0/0R00/0
Poirier · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Max HollowayDecision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Sub · R5
Islam MakhachevSubmission
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
W · KO · R2
Benoit Saint DenisKO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · KO · R2
Justin GaethjeKO/TKO
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
W · Sub · R3
Michael ChandlerSubmission
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
Pettis · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal · 2020-12
W · Dec · R3
Donald CerroneDecision
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · Sub · R2
Diego FerreiraSubmission
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01
L · Dec · R3
Nate DiazDecision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
W · KO · R2
Stephen ThompsonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03