METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot
Minneapolis, USA
5 Oct 2012
Welterweight
VS
58%
Neer
42%
Edwards
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 0:45
JN
Josh Neer
"The Dentist"
36 – 16
5'11"72" reachOrthodox43 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 18
JE
Justin Edwards
"Fast Eddy"
9 – 5
Well-Rounded3-fight slide43 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'10"
CFR 13
★ Official Result
Justin EdwardswinsSubmissionR1 · 0:45
def. Josh Neer · UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Neer
→
Actual result
Edwards wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Neer at 58% vs Edwards at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Neer has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Neer's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Edwards has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
NeerEdwards
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Neer
Edwards
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
72"+
Reach
70"
43
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Neer
Edwards
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.1
12.9
39.5
Performance Avg
35.1
39
Quality of Victory
40
100
Momentum Score
26
Neer
Edwards
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
0.7
50%
Strike Accuracy
40%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
4
0
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance6
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Neer
Edwards
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
3.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Neer
Edwards
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
60
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/52 fights
Chin rating based on
7/14 fights
Neer
Edwards
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
26
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Neer
Edwards
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Neer
Edwards
Striking0.8 / 0.6Volume3.5 / 4.6Grappling4.8 / 5.2Wrestling3.4 / 3.6Submission5.0 / 5.0Pressure4.7 / 4.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.6
4.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
3.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
Neer
Strike Zones
Edwards
Neer
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY1LEGS6 absorbed
Edwards
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY1LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Edwards targets the head (67% of attacks) — Neer absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Neer
RND
Edwards
0/0R00/0

Neer · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0101.5L5.0W4.5W5.5L4.0L4.5W5.5L5.2W5.5L5.5L4.2W5.0W1.5L1.5L5.7L2005-082006-082009-082012-062013-02
WinLossTrend

Edwards · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.5L4.5W5.5L5.0W1.5L5.5L4.0L2011-062011-112013-082015-06
WinLossTrend

Neer · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Court McGeeRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
L · Sub · R1
Justin EdwardsRating 1.5
Submission
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
L · KO · R1
Mike PyleRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · 2012-06
W · Sub · R1
Duane LudwigRating 5
Submission
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
W · R2
Keith WisniewskiRating 4.2
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10

Edwards · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Joe ProctorRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
L · Dec · R3
Ramsey NijemRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou · 2014-01
L · KO · R1
Brandon ThatchRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2 · 2013-08
W · Sub · R1
Josh NeerRating 5
Submission
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
L · Dec · R3
John MaguireRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz · 2011-11

News & Media

Josh Neer · Justin Edwards
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