METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot
Minneapolis, USA
5 Oct 2012
Welterweight
VS
58%
Neer
42%
Edwards
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 0:45
★ Official Result
Justin EdwardswinsSubmissionR1 · 0:45
def. Josh Neer · UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Neer
→
Actual result
Edwards wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Neer at 58% vs Edwards at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Neer's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Edwards has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NeerEdwards
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Neer
Edwards
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
72"+
Reach
70"
43
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Neer
Edwards
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.1
12.9
39.5
Performance Avg
35.1
39
Quality of Victory
40
100
Momentum Score
26
Neer
Edwards
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
4.7
Style: Pressure
4.4
3.5
Style: Volume
4.6
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
4
0
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance6
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Neer
Edwards
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.8
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
3.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
3
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Neer
Edwards
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
60
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/52 fights
Chin rating based on
7/14 fights
Neer
Edwards
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
26
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Neer
Edwards
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Neer
Edwards
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.6
4.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
3.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
NeerEdwards
Strike Zones
Neer
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedEdwards
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Edwards targets the head (67% of attacks) — Neer absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Neer
RND
Edwards
0/0R00/0
Neer · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Court McGeeDecision
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
L · Sub · R1
Justin EdwardsSubmission
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
L · KO · R1
Mike PyleKO/TKO
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · 2012-06
W · Sub · R1
Duane LudwigSubmission
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
W · R2
Keith WisniewskiUFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10
Edwards · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Joe ProctorSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
L · Dec · R3
Ramsey NijemDecision
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou · 2014-01
L · KO · R1
Brandon ThatchKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2 · 2013-08
W · Sub · R1
Josh NeerSubmission
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
L · Dec · R3
John MaguireDecision
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz · 2011-11