UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw
Las Vegas, USA
24 May 2014
Welterweight
VS
18%
Michaud
82%
Jingliang
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jingliang
Jingliang is a strong favourite at 82% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 40 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jingliang has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Striking split: Jingliang throws more volume but Michaud connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Jingliang has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Michaud
Jingliang
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'0"
Reach
71"
37+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Michaud
Jingliang
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
11.1
50.8
28.3
Performance Avg
53.1
25
Quality of Victory
48
33
Momentum Score
69
Michaud
Jingliang
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
2.0
48%
Strike Accuracy
44%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
8 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
15
1
Body
1
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
3Distance7
1Clinch1
6Ground10
Michaud
Jingliang
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.7
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Michaud
Jingliang
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
46
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/14 fights
Chin rating based on
18/28 fights
Michaud
Jingliang
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
69
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Michaud
Jingliang
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
73%
0
KO / TKO Wins
8
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Michaud
Jingliang
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.7
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
MichaudJingliang
Strike Zones
Michaud
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedJingliang
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Michaud targets the head (80% of attacks) — Jingliang absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Jingliang targets the head (83% of attacks) — Michaud absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Michaud
RND
Jingliang
0/0R00/0
Michaud · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Jingliang · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Michaud · Last 3
L · Sub · R3
Olivier Aubin-MercierRating 4Submission
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UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw · 2014-05
Jingliang · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Carlos PratesRating 5KO/TKO
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