UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway
Barueri, Brazil
20 Dec 2014
Middleweight
VS
57%
Machida
43%
Dollaway
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:02
LM
Lyoto Machida
"The Dragon"
24 – 8
6'1"74" reachSouthpaw47 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 19
CD
CB Dollaway
"The Doberman"
17 – 9
Well-Rounded42 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'2"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Machida

This is a genuine toss-up — Machida at 57% vs Dollaway at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Machida has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Machida's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Dollaway has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Machida
Dollaway
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
74"
Reach
+76"
47
Age
+42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Machida
Dollaway
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.7
14.3
53.8
Performance Avg
44.3
45
Quality of Victory
37
78
Momentum Score
51
Machida
Dollaway
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.9
54%
Strike Accuracy
49%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.9
7 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
0
1
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance0
2Clinch0
6Ground0
Machida
Dollaway
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.8
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Machida
Dollaway
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
5
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/32 fights
Chin rating based on
20/26 fights
Machida
Dollaway
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
51
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Machida
Dollaway
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
36%
7
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
2
8
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Machida
Dollaway
Striking5.7 / 2.9Volume5.3 / 5.5Grappling1.7 / 2.8Wrestling1.2 / 1.9Submission0.6 / 1.8Pressure5.5 / 4.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
0.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
Machida
Strike Zones
Dollaway
Machida
Attacking
10HEAD1BODY1LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Dollaway
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD1BODY1LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Machida targets the head (83% of attacks) — Dollaway absorbs 83% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Machida
RND
Dollaway
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Machida · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W5.0W5.1W4.5W1.5L5.5L5.2W3.9L5.2W4.5W5.5L5.0W4.5W6.3L5.0W2.1L2.8L1.8L5.3W5.2W2007-022009-052012-082014-122018-05
WinLossTrend

Dollaway · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0101.5L5.0W5.0W1.5L4.5W4.5W5.0W1.5L2.8L4.5W4.5W5.5L5.0W4.5W1.5L5.5L2.8L4.7W4.0W2.8L2008-062010-022013-012015-042018-09
WinLossTrend

Machida · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Vitor BelfortRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R5
Eryk AndersRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
L · KO · R1
Derek BrunsonRating 1.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · 2017-10
L · KO · R3
Yoel RomeroRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero · 2015-06
L · Sub · R2
Luke RockholdRating 2.1
Submission
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold · 2015-04

Dollaway · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Khalid MurtazalievRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09
W · R1
Hector LombardRating 4
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
W · Dec · R3
Ed HermanRating 4.7
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale · 2017-07
L · KO · R2
Nate MarquardtRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 · 2015-12
L · Dec · R3
Michael BispingRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04

News & Media

Lyoto Machida · CB Dollaway
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