METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jul 2013
Middleweight
VS
87%
Kennedy
13%
Gracie
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Tim KennedywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Roger Gracie · UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Kennedy
→
Actual result
Kennedy wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Kennedy is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Kennedy has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.
Kennedy has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Kennedy's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
KennedyGracie
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Kennedy
Gracie
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'4"
74"
Reach
+79"
46
Age
+44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Kennedy
Gracie
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.9
2.7
48.0
Performance Avg
0.0
40
Quality of Victory
0
70
Momentum Score
0
Kennedy
Gracie
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
0.1
45%
Strike Accuracy
9%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
1
2
Body
0
15
Leg
0
RangeRange
15Distance0
8Clinch1
0Ground0
Kennedy
Gracie
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Kennedy
Gracie
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
98
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/24 fights
Chin rating based on
1/10 fights
Kennedy
Gracie
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
70
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Kennedy
Gracie
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kennedy
Gracie
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
KennedyGracie
Strike Zones
Kennedy
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedGracie
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kennedy targets the legs (65% of attacks) — Gracie absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Gracie targets the head (100% of attacks) — Kennedy absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kennedy
RND
Gracie
0/0R00/0
Kennedy · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Kennedy · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 4.3KO/TKO
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · 2016-12
L · KO · R3
Yoel RomeroRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso · 2014-09
W · Dec · R5
Michael BispingRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · 2014-04
W · KO · R1
Rafael NatalRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3 · 2013-11
W · Dec · R3
Roger GracieRating 4.5Decision
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07
Gracie · Last 1
L · Dec · R3
Tim KennedyRating 5.5Decision
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07