METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jul 2013
Middleweight
VS
87%
Kennedy
13%
Gracie
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
TK
Tim Kennedy
186
5'11"74" reachOrthodox47 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 18
RG
Roger Gracie
82
Well-Rounded44 yrsOrthodox79" reach6'4"
CFR 3
★ Official Result
Tim KennedywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Roger Gracie · UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Kennedy
Actual result
Kennedy wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Kennedy is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Kennedy has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.

Risk flags

Kennedy's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
KennedyGracie
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Kennedy
Gracie
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'4"
74"
Reach
+79"
47
Age
+44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Kennedy
Gracie
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.9
2.7
48.0
Performance Avg
0.0
40
Quality of Victory
0
70
Momentum Score
0
Kennedy
Gracie
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.5
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.1
Style: Pressure
0.0
6.5
Style: Volume
0.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
1
2
Body
0
15
Leg
0
RangeRange
15Distance0
8Clinch1
0Ground0
Kennedy
Gracie
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Kennedy
Gracie
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
98
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
5/24 fights
Chin rating based on
1/10 fights
Kennedy
Gracie
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
70
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Kennedy
Gracie
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Kennedy
Gracie
Striking4.5 / 0.0Volume6.5 / 0.0Grappling1.6 / 0.0Wrestling1.1 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.1 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Kennedy
Strike Zones
Gracie
Kennedy
Attacking
6HEAD2BODY15LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Gracie
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD2BODY15LEGS23 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Kennedy targets the legs (65% of attacks) — Gracie absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Gracie targets the head (100% of attacks) — Kennedy absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Kennedy
RND
Gracie
0/0R00/0

Kennedy · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Kelvin Gastelum
KO/TKO
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · 2016-12
L · KO · R3
Yoel Romero
KO/TKO
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso · 2014-09
W · Dec · R5
Michael Bisping
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · 2014-04
W · KO · R1
Rafael Natal
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3 · 2013-11
W · Dec · R3
Roger Gracie
Decision
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07

Gracie · Last 1

L · Dec · R3
Tim Kennedy
Decision
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07

News & Media

Tim Kennedy · Roger Gracie
← Back to fights
DAFABETBet on UFC & MMA · Competitive odds on every main card
18+ · Gamble ResponsiblyBET NOW ↗
🥊 Bet Now
Our trusted bookmakers
Trusted Bookmakers
Cloudbet
Crypto sports betting
CRYPTO
🎁 New customer offer: 100% up to 5 BTC welcome bonus
BET NOW
🎯
Dafabet
MMA & UFC specialist
SPORTS
🎁 New customer offer: Competitive odds on every main card
BET NOW
18+ · Gamble Responsibly. Odds shown are best available and subject to change. Combatrics may earn commission from bookmaker links. If gambling is affecting you, visit BeGambleAware.org.
🥊
Combatrics Support
Online · Usually replies quickly

👋 Got a question about a fighter, stat or fight? Drop us a message and we'll get back to you.

Combatrics

Powered by Combatrics · We typically reply within a few hours