UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jul 2013
Middleweight
VS
87%
Kennedy
13%
Gracie
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
TK
Tim Kennedy
18 – 6
5'11"74" reachOrthodox46 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 18
RG
Roger Gracie
8 – 2
Well-Rounded44 yrsOrthodox79" reach6'4"
CFR 3

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Kennedy

Kennedy is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Kennedy has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.

Kennedy has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Kennedy's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Kennedy
Gracie
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'4"
74"
Reach
+79"
46
Age
+44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Kennedy
Gracie
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.9
2.7
48.0
Performance Avg
0.0
40
Quality of Victory
0
70
Momentum Score
0
Kennedy
Gracie
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
0.1
45%
Strike Accuracy
9%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
1
2
Body
0
15
Leg
0
RangeRange
15Distance0
8Clinch1
0Ground0
Kennedy
Gracie
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Kennedy
Gracie
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
98
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/24 fights
Chin rating based on
1/10 fights
Kennedy
Gracie
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
70
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Kennedy
Gracie
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Kennedy
Gracie
Striking4.5 / 0.0Volume6.5 / 0.0Grappling1.6 / 0.0Wrestling1.1 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.1 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Kennedy
Strike Zones
Gracie
Kennedy
Attacking
6HEAD2BODY15LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Gracie
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD2BODY15LEGS23 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Kennedy targets the legs (65% of attacks) — Gracie absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Gracie targets the head (100% of attacks) — Kennedy absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Kennedy
RND
Gracie
0/0R00/0

Kennedy · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W5.0W4.5W4.0L4.3L2013-072013-112014-042014-092016-12
WinLossTrend

Kennedy · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 4.3
KO/TKO
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · 2016-12
L · KO · R3
Yoel RomeroRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso · 2014-09
W · Dec · R5
Michael BispingRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · 2014-04
W · KO · R1
Rafael NatalRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3 · 2013-11
W · Dec · R3
Roger GracieRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07

Gracie · Last 1

L · Dec · R3
Tim KennedyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07

News & Media

Tim Kennedy · Roger Gracie
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