UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard
Oklahoma City, USA
16 Sept 2009
Middleweight
VS
49%
Quarry
51%
Credeur
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Credeur
This is a genuine toss-up — Quarry at 49% vs Credeur at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Quarry has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Quarry's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Quarry
Credeur
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'3"
72"
Reach
+75"
54
Age
+48
Open Stance
Stance
Orthodox
Quarry
Credeur
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.7
23.4
57.1
Performance Avg
56.9
49
Quality of Victory
55
100
Momentum Score
85
Quarry
Credeur
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
2.0
46%
Strike Accuracy
30%
8.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.9
5 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
14
1
Body
2
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
19Distance16
0Clinch0
9Ground0
Quarry
Credeur
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.7
/ 10
2.7
/ 10
0.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.9
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Quarry
Credeur
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/16 fights
Chin rating based on
5/16 fights
Quarry
Credeur
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
85
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Quarry
Credeur
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
100%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Quarry
Credeur
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.9
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
7.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.8
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.2
QuarryCredeur
Strike Zones
Quarry
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedCredeur
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Quarry targets the head (86% of attacks) — Credeur absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Credeur targets the head (88% of attacks) — Quarry absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Quarry
RND
Credeur
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Quarry · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Credeur · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Quarry · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Jorge RiveraRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi · 2010-03
W · Dec · R3
Tim CredeurRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard · 2009-09
W · KO · R1
Jason MacDonaldRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 97: Redemption · 2009-04
L · Sub · R1
Demian MaiaRating 1.5Submission
UFC 91: Couture vs Lesnar · 2008-11
W · Dec · R3
Kalib StarnesRating 4.5Decision
UFC 83: Serra vs St-Pierre 2 · 2008-04
Credeur · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Ed HermanRating 1.7KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs Team dos Santos Finale · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Nate QuarryRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard · 2009-09
W · Sub · R2
Nick CatoneRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann · 2009-04
W · KO · R2
Nate LoughranRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night - Fight for the Troops · 2008-12
W · KO · R1
Cale YarbroughRating 5KO/TKO
UFC: Silva vs Irvin · 2008-07