UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
Jacksonville, USA
24 Apr 2021
Flyweight
VS
57%
43%
Molina
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Aoriqileng
Aoriqileng
"The Mongolian Murderer"
26 – 12
5'7"69" reachOrthodox32 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 50
JM
Jeff Molina
"El Jefe"
11 – 2
Well-Rounded3-fight win streak28 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'6"
CFR 37

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge:

This is a genuine toss-up — at 57% vs Molina at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Molina has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Molina
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
69"
Reach
69"
32
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Molina
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.1
37.1
45.5
Performance Avg
61.0
43
Quality of Victory
35
58
Momentum Score
100
Molina
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
4.6
53%
Strike Accuracy
54%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
42
Head
120
13
Body
7
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
56Distance125
1Clinch2
0Ground0
Molina
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Molina
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
100
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/38 fights
Chin rating based on
3/13 fights
Molina
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
100
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Molina
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
33%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Molina
Striking6.0 / 5.3Volume5.0 / 7.3Grappling1.2 / 1.6Wrestling0.8 / 1.1Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.0 / 5.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
Strike Zones
Molina
Attacking
42HEAD13BODY2LEGS57 landed
Absorbing
120HEAD7BODY0LEGS127 absorbed
Molina
Attacking
120HEAD7BODY0LEGS127 landed
Absorbing
42HEAD13BODY2LEGS57 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯 targets the head (74% of attacks) — Molina absorbs 74% of strikes there
🎯Molina targets the head (94% of attacks) — absorbs 94% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

RND
Molina
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0

· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.6L5.6L5.0W4.5W2.6L4.5W7.1L5.2W2021-042022-042023-062024-092025-10
WinLossTrend

Molina · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.3W5.2W4.5W2021-042021-102022-06
WinLossTrend

· Last 5

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Molina · Last 3

W · Dec · R3
Zhalgas ZhumagulovRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · 2022-06
W · KO · R2
Daniel LacerdaRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
W · Dec · R3
AoriqilengRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04

News & Media

Aoriqileng · Jeff Molina
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