METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
Jacksonville, USA
24 Apr 2021
Flyweight
VS
54%
46%
Molina
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CFR 44
★ Official Result
Jeff MolinawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Aoriqileng · UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
→
Actual result
Molina wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — at 54% vs Molina at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
Molina
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Molina
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
69"
Reach
69"
33
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Molina
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.4
37.1
41.5
Performance Avg
61.0
43
Quality of Victory
35
58
Momentum Score
100
Molina
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.8
/ 10
5.3
/ 10
4.7
Style: Pressure
5.3
4.8
Style: Volume
7.3
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
42
Head
120
13
Body
7
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
56Distance125
1Clinch2
0Ground0
Molina
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Molina
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
100
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/38 fights
Chin rating based on
3/13 fights
Molina
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Molina
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
33%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Molina
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
Strike Zones
Attacking
57 landedAbsorbing
127 absorbedMolina
Attacking
127 landedAbsorbing
57 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯 targets the head (74% of attacks) — Molina absorbs 74% of strikes there
🎯Molina targets the head (94% of attacks) — absorbs 94% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
RND
Molina
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
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UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04