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UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett
Las Vegas, USA
24 Jan 2026
Flyweight
VS
51%
Perez
49%
Johnson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:16
Alex
Alex Perez
2610
5'6"65" reachOrthodox34 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 60
Charles
Charles Johnson
"InnerG"
198
Well-Rounded35 yrsSwitch70" reach5'9"
CFR 58
★ Official Result
Alex PerezwinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:16
def. Charles Johnson · UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Perez
Actual result
Perez wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Perez at 51% vs Johnson at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Perez's chin rating of 16 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Johnson has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
PerezJohnson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Perez
Johnson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'9"
65"
Reach
+70"
34+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Perez
Johnson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.7
57.5
51.2
Performance Avg
48.2
50
Quality of Victory
43
100
Momentum Score
96
Perez
Johnson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.1
/ 10
4.5
/ 10
6.8
Style: Pressure
4.8
3.1
Style: Volume
5.6
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
27
Head
4
9
Body
3
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
33Distance8
4Clinch0
2Ground0
Perez
Johnson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.6
/ 10
2.2
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.6
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Perez
Johnson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
56
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
16/36 fights
Chin rating based on
16/27 fights
Perez
Johnson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
96
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Perez
Johnson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
44%
4
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Perez
Johnson
Striking6.1 / 4.5Volume3.1 / 5.6Grappling2.6 / 2.2Wrestling1.8 / 1.6Submission2.5 / 1.1Pressure6.8 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
Perez
Strike Zones
Johnson
Perez
Attacking
27HEAD9BODY3LEGS39 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD3BODY1LEGS8 absorbed
Johnson
Attacking
4HEAD3BODY1LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
27HEAD9BODY3LEGS39 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Perez targets the head (69% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Johnson targets the head (50% of attacks) — Perez absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Perez
RND
Johnson
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0

Perez · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Sumudaerji
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · 2026-08
Upcoming
Sumudaerji
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
W · KO · R1
Charles Johnson
KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
L · Sub · R3
Asu Almabayev
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · KO · R2
Tatsuro Taira
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06

Johnson · Last 5

W · Sub · R3
Eduardo Chapolin
Submission
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08
L · Sub · R3
Asu Almabayev
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Bruno Silva
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Alex Perez
KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R2
Lone'er Kavanagh
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08

News & Media

Alex Perez · Charles Johnson
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