UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett
Las Vegas, USA
24 Jan 2026
Flyweight
VS
53%
Perez
47%
Johnson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:16
Alex
Alex Perez
26 – 10
5'6"65" reachOrthodox34 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 61
Charles
Charles Johnson
"InnerG"
19 – 8
Well-Rounded35 yrsSwitch70" reach5'9"
CFR 54

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Perez

This is a genuine toss-up — Perez at 53% vs Johnson at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Perez throws more volume but Johnson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Perez's chin rating of 18 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Johnson has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Perez
Johnson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'9"
65"
Reach
+70"
34+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Perez
Johnson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.7
53.8
52.7
Performance Avg
48.4
50
Quality of Victory
43
100
Momentum Score
75
Perez
Johnson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
2.0
49%
Strike Accuracy
52%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.9
4 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
27
Head
4
9
Body
3
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
33Distance8
4Clinch0
2Ground0
Perez
Johnson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.5
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Perez
Johnson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
18
68
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/36 fights
Chin rating based on
15/27 fights
Perez
Johnson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
75
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Perez
Johnson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
38%
4
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Perez
Johnson
Striking6.1 / 4.9Volume3.1 / 6.1Grappling2.6 / 1.5Wrestling1.8 / 1.1Submission2.5 / 0.0Pressure7.0 / 4.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
Perez
Strike Zones
Johnson
Perez
Attacking
27HEAD9BODY3LEGS39 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD3BODY1LEGS8 absorbed
Johnson
Attacking
4HEAD3BODY1LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
27HEAD9BODY3LEGS39 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Perez targets the head (69% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Johnson targets the head (50% of attacks) — Perez absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Perez
RND
Johnson
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0

Perez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.2W4.5W5.0W1.5L4.5W5.0W5.0W2.6L2.8L6.9L5.3W3.9L5.1L5.9W2017-122019-032022-072025-112026-01
WinLossTrend

Johnson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0106.9L4.5W5.5W6.3L5.6L6.1L4.5W5.2W7.1W5.1W7.3L6.0W2.8L5.4W2022-072023-042024-072026-012026-03
WinLossTrend

Perez · Last 5

Upcoming
Sumudaerji
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
W · KO · R1
Charles JohnsonRating 5.9
KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
L · Sub · R3
Asu AlmabayevRating 5.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · KO · R2
Tatsuro TairaRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
W · KO · R2
Matheus NicolauRating 5.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04

Johnson · Last 5

Upcoming
Asu Almabayev
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Bruno SilvaRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Alex PerezRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R2
Lone'er KavanaghRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Ramazan TemirovRating 7.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03

News & Media

Alex Perez · Charles Johnson
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