METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady
London, United Kingdom
22 Mar 2025
Women's Strawweight
VS
42%
McCann
58%
Thainara
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:32
★ Official Result
Alexia ThainarawinsSubmissionR1 · 4:32
def. Molly McCann · UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Thainara
→
Actual result
Thainara wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — McCann at 42% vs Thainara at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
McCann's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
McCannThainara
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
McCann
Thainara
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
5'4"
62"
Reach
+67"
36
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
McCann
Thainara
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.1
65.6
42.6
Performance Avg
59.3
38
Quality of Victory
32
71
Momentum Score
100
McCann
Thainara
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.9
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
4.5
Style: Pressure
4.8
5.6
Style: Volume
8.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
7
2
Body
1
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
4Distance6
0Clinch0
5Ground5
McCann
Thainara
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.7
1.4
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
McCann
Thainara
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
100
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/22 fights
Chin rating based on
4/15 fights
McCann
Thainara
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
McCann
Thainara
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
25%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
McCann
Thainara
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.0
McCannThainara
Strike Zones
McCann
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedThainara
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯McCann targets the head (67% of attacks) — Thainara absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Thainara targets the head (64% of attacks) — McCann absorbs 64% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
McCann
RND
Thainara
0/0R00/0
McCann · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Alexia ThainaraSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Bruna BrasilDecision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Sub · R1
Diana BelbitaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
L · Sub · R1
Julija StoliarenkoSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
L · Sub · R1
Erin BlanchfieldSubmission
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
Thainara · Last 4
W · Dec · R3
Amanda LemosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld · 2026-08
W · Dec · R3
Bruna BrasilDecision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Loma LookboonmeeDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · Sub · R1
Molly McCannSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03