UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady
London, United Kingdom
22 Mar 2025
Women's Strawweight
VS
42%
McCann
58%
Thainara
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:32
Molly
Molly McCann
"Meatball"
14 – 8
5'4"62" reachOrthodox36 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 48
Alexia
Alexia Thainara
"Burguesinha"
14 – 1
Well-Rounded3-fight win streak30 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'4"
CFR 68

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Thainara

This is a genuine toss-up — McCann at 42% vs Thainara at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

McCann has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

McCann's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

McCann
Thainara
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
5'4"
62"
Reach
+67"
36
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
McCann
Thainara
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.1
67.6
42.6
Performance Avg
61.3
38
Quality of Victory
36
71
Momentum Score
100
McCann
Thainara
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
1.1
48%
Strike Accuracy
42%
3.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
7
2
Body
1
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
4Distance6
0Clinch0
5Ground5
McCann
Thainara
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.5
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
1.4
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
McCann
Thainara
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
100
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/22 fights
Chin rating based on
3/15 fights
McCann
Thainara
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
McCann
Thainara
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
33%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

McCann
Thainara
Striking3.9 / 2.0Volume5.6 / 7.3Grappling2.5 / 4.3Wrestling1.8 / 3.0Submission1.4 / 3.3Pressure4.5 / 5.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
McCann
Strike Zones
Thainara
McCann
Attacking
6HEAD2BODY1LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD1BODY3LEGS11 absorbed
Thainara
Attacking
7HEAD1BODY3LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD2BODY1LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯McCann targets the head (67% of attacks) — Thainara absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Thainara targets the head (64% of attacks) — McCann absorbs 64% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

McCann
RND
Thainara
0/0R00/0

McCann · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.0L5.5W4.5W4.5W5.7L5.5L4.5W6.1W5.1W3.0L1.8L5.0W5.5L3.1L2018-052020-072022-072024-072025-03
WinLossTrend

Thainara · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.7W5.4W4.5W2025-032025-092026-03
WinLossTrend

McCann · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Alexia ThainaraRating 3.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Bruna BrasilRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Sub · R1
Diana BelbitaRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
L · Sub · R1
Julija StoliarenkoRating 1.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
L · Sub · R1
Erin BlanchfieldRating 3
Submission
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11

Thainara · Last 3

W · Dec · R3
Bruna BrasilRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Loma LookboonmeeRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · Sub · R1
Molly McCannRating 5.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03

News & Media

Molly McCann · Alexia Thainara
← Back to fights