UFC Fight Night: Swick vs Burkman
Las Vegas, USA
23 Jan 2008
Lightweight
VS
67%
Tavares
33%
Omigawa
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Tavares
Tavares holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Omigawa has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Tavares has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Striking split: Tavares throws more volume but Omigawa connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Tavares's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Tavares
Omigawa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
70"+
Reach
68"
41+
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Tavares
Omigawa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.0
8.7
48.8
Performance Avg
20.7
42
Quality of Victory
25
81
Momentum Score
20
Tavares
Omigawa
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.7
44%
Strike Accuracy
44%
2.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
3
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance0
2Clinch0
2Ground4
Tavares
Omigawa
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
5.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
3.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Tavares
Omigawa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
88
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/28 fights
Chin rating based on
7/31 fights
Tavares
Omigawa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
20
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Tavares
Omigawa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
5
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tavares
Omigawa
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.3
5.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.4
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.3
TavaresOmigawa
Strike Zones
Tavares
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedOmigawa
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tavares targets the head (100% of attacks) — Omigawa absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Omigawa targets the head (75% of attacks) — Tavares absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tavares
RND
Omigawa
0/0R00/0
Tavares · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Omigawa · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Tavares · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Dooho ChoiRating 3.3KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale · 2016-07
W · Sub · R1
Clay GuidaRating 5.5Submission
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L · KO · R3
Brian OrtegaRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
W · Sub · R1
Robert PeraltaRating 5Submission
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W · Sub · R1
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Omigawa · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Manvel GamburyanRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera · 2012-08
L · Dec · R3
Iuri AlcantaraRating 5.5Decision
UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes · 2012-01
W · Dec · R3
Jason YoungRating 4.5Decision
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz · 2011-11
L · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6Decision
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Chad MendesRating 5.5Decision
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