UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier
Newark, USA
1 Jun 2024
Welterweight
VS
58%
Price
42%
Morono
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Price
This is a genuine toss-up — Price at 58% vs Morono at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Price has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Price has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Price's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Morono has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Price
Morono
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
76"+
Reach
72"
36
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Price
Morono
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.4
35.0
46.0
Performance Avg
43.3
49
Quality of Victory
35
65
Momentum Score
20
Price
Morono
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.6
2.0
46%
Strike Accuracy
41%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.7
4 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
44
Head
29
12
Body
8
2
Leg
4
RangeRange
48Distance39
6Clinch2
4Ground0
Price
Morono
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Price
Morono
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
20
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
5
KO/TKO Losses
3
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/27 fights
Chin rating based on
24/37 fights
Price
Morono
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
20
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Price
Morono
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
31%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Price
Morono
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.5
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
2.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
PriceMorono
Strike Zones
Price
Attacking
58 landedAbsorbing
41 absorbedMorono
Attacking
41 landedAbsorbing
58 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Price targets the head (76% of attacks) — Morono absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Morono targets the head (71% of attacks) — Price absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Price
RND
Morono
0/0R00/0
Price · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Morono · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Price · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Michael ChiesaRating 2.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Nikolay VeretennikovRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · Sub · R2
Jacobe SmithRating 5.1Submission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Themba GorimboRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 4.5Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
Morono · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Daniil DonchenkoRating 7.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · KO · R1
Carlos LealRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Niko PriceRating 6.2Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Court McGeeRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04