METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy
Las Vegas, USA
18 May 2024
Lightweight
VS
6%
Martinez
94%
Nolan
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:50
★ Official Result
Tom NolanwinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:50
def. Victor Martinez · UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Nolan
→
Actual result
Nolan wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Nolan is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 61 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Nolan has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 41 points.
Striking split: Martinez throws more volume but Nolan connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Martinez's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MartinezNolan
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Martinez
Nolan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'3"
70"
Reach
+73"
35
Age
+26
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Martinez
Nolan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
4.0
65.0
0.0
Performance Avg
56.6
0
Quality of Victory
41
0
Momentum Score
100
Martinez
Nolan
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.0
2.2
46%
Strike Accuracy
48%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
14
7
Body
13
5
Leg
6
RangeRange
16Distance29
1Clinch0
1Ground4
Martinez
Nolan
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Martinez
Nolan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
78
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/19 fights
Chin rating based on
6/11 fights
Martinez
Nolan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Martinez
Nolan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Martinez
Nolan
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.9
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
MartinezNolan
Strike Zones
Martinez
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedNolan
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Martinez targets the body (39% of attacks) — Nolan absorbs 39% of strikes there
🎯Nolan targets the head (42% of attacks) — Martinez absorbs 42% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Martinez
RND
Nolan
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Martinez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.0WinLossTrend
Nolan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Martinez · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Tom NolanRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
L · KO · R1
Jordan LeavittRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · 2023-02
Nolan · Last 5
Upcoming
Fares ZiamUFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · Sub · R1
Charlie CampbellRating 6.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Viacheslav BorshchevRating 5Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Alex ReyesRating 4.5Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
W · KO · R1
Victor MartinezRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05