UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis
Sao Paulo, Brazil
4 Nov 2023
Welterweight
VS
60%
Fakhretdinov
40%
Santos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00

CFR 45
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Fakhretdinov
Fakhretdinov holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Santos has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Fakhretdinov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Santos has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Fakhretdinov
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
74"+
Reach
73"
34+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Fakhretdinov
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
67.7
45.3
61.4
Performance Avg
49.3
36
Quality of Victory
39
100
Momentum Score
45
Fakhretdinov
Santos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.7
55%
Strike Accuracy
44%
3.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.9
1 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
30
3
Body
9
2
Leg
4
RangeRange
20Distance28
3Clinch2
0Ground13
Fakhretdinov
Santos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.0
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Fakhretdinov
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
28
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/25 fights
Chin rating based on
18/35 fights
Fakhretdinov
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
45
6-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Fakhretdinov
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
46%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Fakhretdinov
Santos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.9
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
FakhretdinovSantos
Strike Zones
Fakhretdinov
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
43 absorbedSantos
Attacking
43 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Fakhretdinov targets the head (78% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the head (70% of attacks) — Fakhretdinov absorbs 70% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Fakhretdinov
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Fakhretdinov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Santos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Fakhretdinov · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Andreas GustafssonRating 5.2KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
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Upcoming
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11
W · Sub · R1
Kevin LeeRating 5Submission
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Santos · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Neil MagnyRating 3.4KO/TKO
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L · KO · R2
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Zachary ScrogginRating 5KO/TKO
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Randy BrownRating 6.4Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
Upcoming
Rinat FakhretdinovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11
