METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn
Phoenix, USA
15 Jan 2017
Bantamweight
VS
55%
Saenz
45%
Mendes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Augusto MendeswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Frankie Saenz · UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Saenz
→
Actual result
Mendes wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Saenz at 55% vs Mendes at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Saenz's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SaenzMendes
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Saenz
Mendes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
66"+
Reach
65"
46
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Saenz
Mendes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.7
11.3
35.0
Performance Avg
28.3
25
Quality of Victory
25
75
Momentum Score
40
Saenz
Mendes
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
1.5
Style: Pressure
1.0
9.0
Style: Volume
8.7
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
13
4
Body
2
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance10
7Clinch5
0Ground0
Saenz
Mendes
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Saenz
Mendes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
76
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/20 fights
Chin rating based on
3/8 fights
Saenz
Mendes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
40
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Saenz
Mendes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Saenz
Mendes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
SaenzMendes
Strike Zones
Saenz
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedMendes
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Saenz targets the head (43% of attacks) — Mendes absorbs 43% of strikes there
🎯Mendes targets the head (87% of attacks) — Saenz absorbs 87% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Saenz
RND
Mendes
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Saenz · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Jonathan MartinezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan · 2020-08
L · KO · R1
Marlon VeraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Henry BrionesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Merab DvalishviliDecision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12
L · Dec · R3
Augusto MendesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01
Mendes · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Aljamain SterlingDecision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · 2017-04
W · Dec · R3
Frankie SaenzDecision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01
L · KO · R1
Cody GarbrandtKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowboy · 2016-02