UFC 71: Liddell vs Jackson
Las Vegas, USA
26 May 2007
Light Heavyweight
VS
93%
Belcher
7%
Salmon
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 0:53
AB
Alan Belcher
"The Talent"
18 – 8
6'2"75" reachOrthodox42 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 22
SS
Sean Salmon
18 – 21
Well-Rounded2-fight slide48 yrsSouthpaw5'10"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Belcher

Belcher is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Belcher has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 48 points.

Belcher has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Belcher's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Salmon has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Belcher
Salmon
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'10"
75"
Reach
42+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Belcher
Salmon
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.4
1.8
53.0
Performance Avg
0.0
48
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Belcher
Salmon
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.1
43%
Strike Accuracy
25%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Belcher
Salmon
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Belcher
Salmon
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/26 fights
Chin rating based on
2/39 fights
Belcher
Salmon
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
Belcher
Salmon
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
78%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Belcher
Salmon
Striking5.6 / 0.0Volume2.1 / 0.0Grappling2.9 / 0.0Wrestling2.0 / 0.0Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure7.2 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Belcher
Strike Zones
Salmon
Belcher
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Salmon
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Salmon targets the body (100% of attacks) — Belcher absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Belcher
RND
Salmon
0/0R00/0

Belcher · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L5.5W2.8L5.0W4.2W1.5L4.7W5.2W5.5L5.0W5.2W5.0W5.0W5.5L5.5L2006-082007-102009-072012-052013-04
WinLossTrend

Salmon · QOF Timeline

Avg: 2.1
0102.8L1.5L2007-012007-05
WinLossTrend

Belcher · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Michael BispingRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04
L · Dec · R3
Yushin OkamiRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12
W · KO · R1
Rousimar PalharesRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
W · KO · R1
Jason MacDonaldRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger · 2011-09
W · Sub · R2
Patrick CoteRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05

Salmon · Last 2

L · Sub · R1
Alan BelcherRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 71: Liddell vs Jackson · 2007-05
L · KO · R2
Rashad EvansRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Evans vs Salmon · 2007-01

News & Media

Alan Belcher · Sean Salmon
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