UFC 149: Faber vs Barao
Calgary, Canada
21 Jul 2012
Middleweight
VS
41%
Lombard
59%
Boetsch
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
HL
Hector Lombard
34 – 10
5'9"71" reachSouthpaw48 yrs6-fight slideStriker
CFR 12
TB
Tim Boetsch
"The Barbarian"
21 – 13
Striker2-fight slide45 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'0"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Boetsch

This is a genuine toss-up — Lombard at 41% vs Boetsch at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Boetsch has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Lombard's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Boetsch has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Lombard
Boetsch
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'0"
71"
Reach
+74"
48
Age
+45
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Lombard
Boetsch
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
11.7
16.6
39.9
Performance Avg
46.0
48
Quality of Victory
43
0
Momentum Score
69
Lombard
Boetsch
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.3
47%
Strike Accuracy
57%
7.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
6
2
Body
9
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
7Distance13
0Clinch6
0Ground0
Lombard
Boetsch
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lombard
Boetsch
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
5
Avg R2.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/44 fights
Chin rating based on
24/34 fights
Lombard
Boetsch
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
69
6-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Lombard
Boetsch
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
58%
2
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lombard
Boetsch
Striking7.2 / 6.8Volume3.2 / 4.3Grappling0.8 / 1.0Wrestling0.6 / 0.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.5 / 5.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.8
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.3
Lombard
Strike Zones
Boetsch
Lombard
Attacking
5HEAD2BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD9BODY4LEGS19 absorbed
Boetsch
Attacking
6HEAD9BODY4LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD2BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lombard targets the head (71% of attacks) — Boetsch absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Boetsch targets the body (47% of attacks) — Lombard absorbs 47% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lombard
RND
Boetsch
0/0R00/0

Lombard · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.5L5.0W5.5L5.0W4.5W4.6L2.8L5.5L5.2L4.0L5.5L2012-072013-102016-062018-032018-09
WinLossTrend

Boetsch · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0105.0W2.8L5.0W5.5L4.5W2.8L4.5W4.5W5.5W4.5W4.0L5.5L4.5W1.5L5.3W2.8L1.5L2.9L5.2W5.0W1.5L5.2W1.5L5.5L2008-022011-052013-102016-072019-03
WinLossTrend

Lombard · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Thales LeitesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · R1
CB DollawayRating 4
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
L · KO · R3
Anthony SmithRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09
L · Dec · R3
Johny HendricksRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
L · KO · R2
Dan HendersonRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06

Boetsch · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
L · Sub · R1
Antonio Carlos JuniorRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
W · KO · R2
Johny HendricksRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · Sub · R1
Jacare SouzaRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · 2017-02
W · KO · R1
Rafael NatalRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor · 2016-11

News & Media

Hector Lombard · Tim Boetsch
← Back to fights