METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 149: Faber vs Barao
Calgary, Canada
21 Jul 2012
Middleweight
VS
41%
Lombard
59%
Boetsch
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Tim BoetschwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Hector Lombard · UFC 149: Faber vs Barao
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Boetsch
→
Actual result
Boetsch wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Lombard at 41% vs Boetsch at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Lombard's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Boetsch has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LombardBoetsch
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Lombard
Boetsch
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'0"
71"
Reach
+74"
48
Age
+45
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Lombard
Boetsch
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
11.7
16.6
39.9
Performance Avg
46.0
48
Quality of Victory
43
0
Momentum Score
69
Lombard
Boetsch
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.2
/ 10
6.8
/ 10
5.5
Style: Pressure
5.6
3.2
Style: Volume
4.3
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
7 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
6
2
Body
9
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
7Distance13
0Clinch6
0Ground0
Lombard
Boetsch
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lombard
Boetsch
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
5
Avg R2.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/44 fights
Chin rating based on
24/34 fights
Lombard
Boetsch
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
69
6-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Lombard
Boetsch
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
58%
2
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lombard
Boetsch
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.8
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.3
LombardBoetsch
Strike Zones
Lombard
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedBoetsch
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lombard targets the head (71% of attacks) — Boetsch absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Boetsch targets the body (47% of attacks) — Lombard absorbs 47% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lombard
RND
Boetsch
0/0R00/0
Lombard · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
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Dan HendersonKO/TKO
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Boetsch · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovDecision
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L · Sub · R1
Antonio Carlos JuniorSubmission
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W · KO · R2
Johny HendricksKO/TKO
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L · Sub · R1
Jacare SouzaSubmission
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W · KO · R1
Rafael NatalKO/TKO
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