★ Championship Bout · Welterweight
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
Dallas, USA
8 Sept 2018
Welterweight
VS
39%
Woodley
61%
Till
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:19
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Till
Till holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Woodley has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Woodley has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Woodley has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Woodley's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Till has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Woodley
Till
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'0"
74"
Reach
74"
44
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Woodley
Till
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.4
30.5
58.9
Performance Avg
44.3
58
Quality of Victory
38
40
Momentum Score
35
Woodley
Till
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
0.9
49%
Strike Accuracy
49%
6.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.4
5 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
44
Head
0
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
45Ground0
Woodley
Till
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.7
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Woodley
Till
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
40
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R5.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/26 fights
Chin rating based on
12/23 fights
Woodley
Till
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
35
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R5
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Woodley
Till
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
33%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Woodley
Till
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.0
3.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.4
WoodleyTill
Strike Zones
Woodley
Attacking
46 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTill
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
46 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Woodley targets the head (96% of attacks) — Till absorbs 96% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Woodley
RND
Till
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Woodley · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Till · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Woodley · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Vicente LuqueRating 3Submission
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
L · KO · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
L · Dec · R5
Gilbert BurnsRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05
L · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanRating 6.6Decision
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03
W · Sub · R2
Darren TillRating 5.1Submission
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09
Till · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Dricus Du PlessisRating 5.9Submission
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
L · Sub · R3
Derek BrunsonRating 3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till · 2021-09
L · Dec · R5
Robert WhittakerRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
W · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 4.8Decision
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
L · KO · R2
Jorge MasvidalRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · 2019-03