Alex Caceres vs Rolando Dy — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia

Kallang, Singapore

17 Jun 2017

Featherweight

81%

Caceres

19%

Win Probability

Alex Caceres

"Bruce Leeroy"

21 – 15

5'10"73" reachSouthpaw38 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 40

Rolando Dy

"Dy Incredible"

9 – 7

Well-Rounded35 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'8"

CFR 9

★ Official Result

Alex CacereswinsR2 · 5:00

def. Rolando Dy · UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Caceres

→

Actual result

Caceres wins

Pre-fight analysis

Caceres is a strong favourite at 81% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Dy throws more volume but Caceres connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Caceres's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

CaceresDy

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Caceres

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'10"+

Height

5'8"

73"+

Reach

69"

Age

+35

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

Caceres

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

39.7

9.3

42.2

Performance Avg

25.0

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Caceres

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.7

1.8

50%

Strike Accuracy

44%

1.7

Striking Style Score (/10)

0.5

1 KOs

KO Finishes

0 KOs

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

16Distance15

5Clinch0

0Ground0

Caceres

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

—

0.1

Sub Attempts / fight

—

3.5

Grappling Style Score (/10)

2.4

2.5

Wrestling Style Score (/10)

1.7

0:00

Control Time (this fight)

0:00

Reversals

Caceres

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

Moderate

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R2.0 stoppage

18 fights ago

Last KO loss

Most recent fight

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

30/36 fights

Chin rating based on

4/16 fights

Caceres

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

2-fight 📉 slide

Current form

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

W · KO · R1

L · Dec · R3

Last 5

L · KO · R2

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

L · R2

Caceres

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

31%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Caceres

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

1.7

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

0.5

3.5

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

2.4

2.5

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.7

2.5

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

3.8

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

0.8

6.1

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

8.5

Caceres

Strike Zones

Caceres

Attacking

21 landed

Absorbing

15 absorbed

Attacking

15 landed

Absorbing

21 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Caceres targets the head (76% of attacks) — Dy absorbs 76% of strikes there

🎯Dy targets the head (53% of attacks) — Caceres absorbs 53% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Caceres

RND

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Caceres · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7

WinLossTrend

Dy · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5

WinLossTrend

Caceres · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Sean WoodsonRating 6.6

Decision

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L · Dec · R3

Giga ChikadzeRating 6.5

Decision

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W · Dec · R3

Daniel PinedaRating 5.4

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06

W · KO · R1

Julian ErosaRating 5.2

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12

L · Dec · R3

Sodiq YusuffRating 6.3

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03

Dy · Last 4

L · KO · R2

Shane YoungRating 2.8

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards · 2018-06

W · Dec · R3

WulijiburenRating 4.5

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum · 2017-11

L · Dec · R3

Teruto IshiharaRating 5.5

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · 2017-09

L · R2

Alex CaceresRating 5

UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06

News & Media

Alex Caceres · Rolando Dy

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