METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia
Kallang, Singapore
17 Jun 2017
Featherweight
VS
81%
Caceres
19%
Dy
Win Probability
★ Official Result
Alex CacereswinsR2 · 5:00
def. Rolando Dy · UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Caceres
→
Actual result
Caceres wins
Pre-fight analysis
Caceres is a strong favourite at 81% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Caceres's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CaceresDy
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Caceres
Dy
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
73"+
Reach
69"
38
Age
+36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Caceres
Dy
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.7
9.3
42.2
Performance Avg
25.0
34
Quality of Victory
25
76
Momentum Score
22
Caceres
Dy
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
3.8
Style: Pressure
0.8
6.1
Style: Volume
8.5
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
8
5
Body
3
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
16Distance15
5Clinch0
0Ground0
Caceres
Dy
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Caceres
Dy
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/36 fights
Chin rating based on
4/16 fights
Caceres
Dy
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
76
22
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · R2
Caceres
Dy
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
31%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
11
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Caceres
Dy
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
CaceresDy
Strike Zones
Caceres
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedDy
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Caceres targets the head (76% of attacks) — Dy absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Dy targets the head (53% of attacks) — Caceres absorbs 53% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Caceres
RND
Dy
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
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Alex CaceresUFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06