METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker
Las Vegas, USA
8 Jul 2017
Heavyweight
VS
53%
Werdum
47%
Overeem
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Alistair OvereemwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Fabricio Werdum · UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Werdum
→
Actual result
Overeem wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Werdum at 53% vs Overeem at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Werdum's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Overeem has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
WerdumOvereem
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Werdum
Overeem
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
77"
Reach
+80"
49
Age
+46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Werdum
Overeem
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.4
18.1
57.8
Performance Avg
55.0
52
Quality of Victory
52
72
Momentum Score
56
Werdum
Overeem
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.7
/ 10
8.7
/ 10
6.7
Style: Pressure
7.0
4.0
Style: Volume
3.2
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
9 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
6
4
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
13Distance5
4Clinch1
7Ground0
Werdum
Overeem
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.4
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Werdum
Overeem
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
8
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.1 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/33 fights
Chin rating based on
20/66 fights
Werdum
Overeem
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
56
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R5
W · KO · R1
Werdum
Overeem
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
75%
4
KO / TKO Wins
9
4
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Werdum
Overeem
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.7
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.6
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.2
WerdumOvereem
Strike Zones
Werdum
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedOvereem
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Werdum targets the head (83% of attacks) — Overeem absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Overeem targets the head (100% of attacks) — Werdum absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Werdum
RND
Overeem
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Werdum · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Alexander GustafssonSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
L · Dec · R3
Aleksei OleinikDecision
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · KO · R4
Alexander VolkovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
W · Dec · R5
Marcin TyburaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
W · Sub · R1
Walt HarrisSubmission
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
Overeem · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Alexander VolkovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
W · KO · R5
Augusto SakaiKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai · 2020-09
W · KO · R2
Walt HarrisKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
L · KO · R5
Jairzinho RozenstruikKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
W · KO · R1
Aleksei OleinikKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04