UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov
Las Vegas, USA
14 Jan 2023
Flyweight
VS
55%
Johnson
45%
Flick
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:33
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Johnson
This is a genuine toss-up — Johnson at 55% vs Flick at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Johnson throws more volume but Flick connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Johnson's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Flick has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Johnson
Flick
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
70"+
Reach
68"
35
Age
35
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Johnson
Flick
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.8
44.7
48.4
Performance Avg
44.4
43
Quality of Victory
52
75
Momentum Score
20
Johnson
Flick
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
0.7
52%
Strike Accuracy
53%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
3
10
Body
3
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
22Distance7
0Clinch0
12Ground0
Johnson
Flick
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Johnson
Flick
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
52
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/27 fights
Chin rating based on
6/26 fights
Johnson
Flick
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
20
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Johnson
Flick
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Johnson
Flick
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
JohnsonFlick
Strike Zones
Johnson
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedFlick
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the head (59% of attacks) — Flick absorbs 59% of strikes there
🎯Flick targets the head (43% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 43% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Johnson
RND
Flick
0/0R00/0
Johnson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Flick · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Johnson · Last 5
Upcoming
Asu AlmabayevUFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Bruno SilvaRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Alex PerezRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R2
Lone'er KavanaghRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Ramazan TemirovRating 7.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
Flick · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Matt SchnellRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Nate ManessRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
W · Sub · R2
Malcolm GordonRating 5.2Submission
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
L · KO · R2
Alessandro CostaRating 4.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06
L · KO · R1
Charles JohnsonRating 2.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · 2023-01