UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2
Newark, USA
7 Jun 2025
Flyweight
VS
44%
Silva
56%
Van
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:01
Bruno
Bruno Silva
"Bulldog"
15 – 8
5'4"65" reachOrthodox36 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 53
Joshua
Joshua Van
"The Fearless"
17 – 2
Well-Rounded7-fight win streak24 yrsOrthodox65" reach5'5"
CFR 68

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Van

This is a genuine toss-up — Silva at 44% vs Van at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Van has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Silva's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Silva
Van
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'5"
65"
Reach
65"
36
Age
+24
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Silva
Van
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.5
67.8
51.7
Performance Avg
62.6
53
Quality of Victory
44
39
Momentum Score
100
Silva
Van
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
3.0
49%
Strike Accuracy
59%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
3 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
39
6
Body
5
5
Leg
1
RangeRange
29Distance38
3Clinch1
0Ground6
Silva
Van
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.2
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
4.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Silva
Van
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
78
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/23 fights
Chin rating based on
11/19 fights
Silva
Van
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
100
Current form
7-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Silva
Van
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
40%
3
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Silva
Van
Striking7.0 / 5.8Volume1.0 / 6.6Grappling3.2 / 1.4Wrestling2.2 / 1.0Submission4.0 / 0.0Pressure8.5 / 5.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
Silva
Strike Zones
Van
Silva
Attacking
21HEAD6BODY5LEGS32 landed
Absorbing
39HEAD5BODY1LEGS45 absorbed
Van
Attacking
39HEAD5BODY1LEGS45 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD6BODY5LEGS32 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the head (66% of attacks) — Van absorbs 66% of strikes there
🎯Van targets the head (87% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 87% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Silva
RND
Van
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
0/0R20/0

Silva · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0105.5L6.6L5.2W5.0W5.5W5.4W5.7L5.6L7.3W6.4L2020-032021-052024-122026-03
WinLossTrend

Van · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W4.5W5.9W4.9L5.5W4.6W4.7W6.4W5.3W6.3W7.2W2023-062024-072025-032025-122026-05
WinLossTrend

Silva · Last 5

Upcoming
Edgar Chairez
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Charles JohnsonRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · Sub · R3
HyunSung ParkRating 7.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · KO · R3
Joshua VanRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
L · KO · R3
Manel KapeRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12

Van · Last 5

W · KO · R5
Tatsuro TairaRating 7.2
KO/TKO
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R1
Alexandre PantojaRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Brandon RoyvalRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · KO · R3
Bruno SilvaRating 6.4
KO/TKO
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Rei TsuruyaRating 4.7
Decision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03

News & Media

Bruno Silva · Joshua Van
← Back to fights