METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis
Norfolk, USA
11 Nov 2017
Welterweight
VS
77%
Brown
23%
Sanchez
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:44
★ Official Result
Matt BrownwinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:44
def. Diego Sanchez · UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Brown
→
Actual result
Brown wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Brown is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Brown has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Risk flags
Brown's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Sanchez has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BrownSanchez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Brown
Sanchez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
75"+
Reach
72"
45
Age
+44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Brown
Sanchez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.5
12.7
54.0
Performance Avg
46.0
52
Quality of Victory
37
78
Momentum Score
20
Brown
Sanchez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.8
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
7.9
Style: Pressure
4.0
2.1
Style: Volume
6.2
13 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
7
2
Body
2
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
12Distance10
6Clinch2
0Ground0
Brown
Sanchez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
1.2
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Brown
Sanchez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
14
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/45 fights
Chin rating based on
32/44 fights
Brown
Sanchez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
20
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Brown
Sanchez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
32%
13
KO / TKO Wins
6
2
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
13
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brown
Sanchez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
1.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.0
2.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
BrownSanchez
Strike Zones
Brown
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedSanchez
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brown targets the head (78% of attacks) — Sanchez absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Sanchez targets the head (58% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 58% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brown
RND
Sanchez
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Brown · Last 5
W · KO · R1
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Dhiego LimaKO/TKO
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L · KO · R2
Miguel BaezaKO/TKO
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Sanchez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jake MatthewsDecision
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09
W · R3
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L · Dec · R3
Michael ChiesaDecision
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W · KO · R2
Mickey GallKO/TKO
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Craig WhiteDecision
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