UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa
Adelaide, Australia
1 Dec 2018
Heavyweight
VS
30%
Santos
70%
Tuivasa
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:30
JD
Junior Dos Santos
"Cigano"
21 – 9
6'4"77" reachOrthodox42 yrs4-fight slideStriker
CFR 19
Tai
Tai Tuivasa
"Bam Bam"
15 – 10
Knockout Artist7-fight slide33 yrsSouthpaw75" reach6'2"
CFR 43

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Tuivasa

Tuivasa is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Tuivasa has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Santos's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Tuivasa has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Santos
Tuivasa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'2"
77"+
Reach
75"
42
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Santos
Tuivasa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.7
43.2
57.8
Performance Avg
50.4
53
Quality of Victory
54
59
Momentum Score
20
Santos
Tuivasa
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.9
50%
Strike Accuracy
55%
8.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.6
10 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
3
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance4
0Clinch0
11Ground0
Santos
Tuivasa
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.8
/ 10
0.3
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Santos
Tuivasa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
4 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
7
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.1 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/30 fights
Chin rating based on
18/25 fights
Santos
Tuivasa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
20
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
7-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
Santos
Tuivasa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
88%
10
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Santos
Tuivasa
Striking8.0 / 9.6Volume4.0 / 1.9Grappling0.8 / 0.3Wrestling0.6 / 0.2Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure6.6 / 7.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.6
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.3
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.9
Santos
Strike Zones
Tuivasa
Santos
Attacking
16HEAD0BODY0LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Tuivasa
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD0BODY0LEGS16 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Santos targets the head (100% of attacks) — Tuivasa absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Tuivasa targets the head (75% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Santos
RND
Tuivasa
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Santos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W5.0W5.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.0W5.1W5.5L5.5W4.0L5.6W2.8L4.5W2.6L4.5W5.5W6.3W1.9L3.1L3.8L4.5L2008-102011-062014-122019-032020-12
WinLossTrend

Tuivasa · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.0W5.0W5.2W2.1L5.5L3.3L5.0W5.0W5.0W5.4W6.5W4.5L2.7L4.0L1.9L6.6L6.7L5.5L2017-112019-102022-022024-082026-05
WinLossTrend

Santos · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Ciryl GaneRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno · 2020-12
L · KO · R2
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
L · KO · R2
Curtis BlaydesRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · KO · R1
Francis NgannouRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03

Tuivasa · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Louie SutherlandRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Tallison TeixeiraRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
L · Dec · R3
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Sub · R1
Marcin TyburaRating 1.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
L · Sub · R2
Alexander VolkovRating 4
Submission
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09

News & Media

Junior Dos Santos · Tai Tuivasa
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