UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz
Montreal, Canada
16 Mar 2013
Welterweight
VS
46%
Miller
54%
Mein
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:42
DM
Dan Miller
14 – 8
6'1"74" reachOrthodox44 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 17
JM
Jordan Mein
"Young Gun"
31 – 12
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak36 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'0"
CFR 20

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Mein

This is a genuine toss-up — Miller at 46% vs Mein at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Miller throws more volume but Mein connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Miller's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Mein has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Miller
Mein
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
74"+
Reach
73"
44
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Miller
Mein
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.9
19.6
43.7
Performance Avg
45.6
42
Quality of Victory
39
51
Momentum Score
100
Miller
Mein
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
0.8
37%
Strike Accuracy
45%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.1
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
25
4
Body
4
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
11Distance16
0Clinch13
0Ground0
Miller
Mein
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
6.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.4
4.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Miller
Mein
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
52
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/22 fights
Chin rating based on
9/43 fights
Miller
Mein
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Miller
Mein
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
40%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
4
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Miller
Mein
Striking0.9 / 5.1Volume3.6 / 5.9Grappling6.1 / 1.4Wrestling4.3 / 1.0Submission6.7 / 0.0Pressure6.0 / 4.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.1
6.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
4.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.9
Miller
Strike Zones
Mein
Miller
Attacking
4HEAD4BODY3LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
25HEAD4BODY0LEGS29 absorbed
Mein
Attacking
25HEAD4BODY0LEGS29 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD4BODY3LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Miller targets the head (36% of attacks) — Mein absorbs 36% of strikes there
🎯Mein targets the head (86% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 86% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Miller
RND
Mein
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Miller · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.0W4.5W5.0W5.5L5.5L5.5L5.2W4.5W5.5L5.5L5.5W1.5L5.5L2008-092010-022011-032015-07
WinLossTrend

Mein · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W3.1L4.5W5.0W2.8L5.5L6.6L4.5W4.5W2013-032014-082017-072018-07
WinLossTrend

Miller · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Trevor SmithRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale · 2015-07
L · KO · R1
Jordan MeinRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz · 2013-03
W · Sub · R3
Ricardo FunchRating 5.5
Submission
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida · 2012-06
L · Dec · R3
Rousimar PalharesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Nate MarquardtRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones · 2011-03

Mein · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Erick SilvaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · 2017-12
L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker · 2017-07
L · Dec · R3
Emil MeekRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · 2016-12
L · KO · R2
Thiago AlvesRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz · 2015-01

News & Media

Dan Miller · Jordan Mein
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