UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum
Fortaleza, Brazil
8 Jun 2013
Welterweight
VS
53%
Alcantara
47%
Silva
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Alcantara
This is a genuine toss-up — Alcantara at 53% vs Silva at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Silva has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Alcantara
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'9"
78"+
Reach
72"
43
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Alcantara
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.0
14.0
41.5
Performance Avg
37.9
31
Quality of Victory
35
53
Momentum Score
30
Alcantara
Silva
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.1
33%
Strike Accuracy
49%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
10
5
Body
3
1
Leg
13
RangeRange
11Distance25
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Alcantara
Silva
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.8
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
2.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Alcantara
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
92
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/32 fights
Chin rating based on
8/26 fights
Alcantara
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
30
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Alcantara
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Alcantara
Silva
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
AlcantaraSilva
Strike Zones
Alcantara
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedSilva
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Alcantara targets the head (50% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Alcantara absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Alcantara
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0
Alcantara · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Alcantara · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Kevin CaseyRating 5.5Decision
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W · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
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UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida · 2014-07
W · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
Igor AraujoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
Silva · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rustam KhabilovRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09
L · Dec · R3
Jason SaggoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
W · Dec · R3
Efrain EscuderoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11
W · Dec · R3
Lewis GonzalezRating 4.5Decision
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Upcoming
Drew DoberUFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare · 2015-03