METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold
Perth, Australia
10 Feb 2018
Light Heavyweight
VS
84%
Pedro
16%
Safarov
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:54
★ Official Result
Tyson PedrowinsSubmissionR1 · 3:54
def. Saparbeg Safarov · UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pedro
→
Actual result
Pedro wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Pedro is a strong favourite at 84% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pedro has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 33 points.
Risk flags
Pedro's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Safarov has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PedroSafarov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pedro
Safarov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
79"+
Reach
78"
34+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pedro
Safarov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.3
8.8
56.6
Performance Avg
25.0
58
Quality of Victory
25
65
Momentum Score
22
Pedro
Safarov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.8
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
8.6
Style: Pressure
0.8
1.1
Style: Volume
8.5
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
6
2
Body
1
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
10Distance4
2Clinch3
0Ground1
Pedro
Safarov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.7
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pedro
Safarov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
54
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/15 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Pedro
Safarov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
22
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
Pedro
Safarov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pedro
Safarov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
1.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
PedroSafarov
Strike Zones
Pedro
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedSafarov
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pedro targets the head (50% of attacks) — Safarov absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Safarov targets the head (75% of attacks) — Pedro absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pedro
RND
Safarov
0/0R00/0
Pedro · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Vitor PetrinoDecision
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W · KO · R1
Anton TurkaljKO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Modestas BukauskasDecision
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
W · KO · R1
Harry HunsuckerKO/TKO
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
W · KO · R1
Ike VillanuevaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04
Safarov · Last 4
L · Sub · R1
Rodolfo VieiraSubmission
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · 2020-03
W · Dec · R3
Nicolae NegumereanuDecision
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · 2019-03
L · Sub · R1
Tyson PedroSubmission
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
L · KO · R2
Gian VillanteKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · 2016-12