UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold
Perth, Australia
10 Feb 2018
Light Heavyweight
VS
86%
Pedro
14%
Safarov
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:54
Tyson
Tyson Pedro
10 – 5
6'3"79" reachOrthodox34 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 56
SS
Saparbeg Safarov
9 – 3
Well-Rounded39 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'1"
CFR 9

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Pedro

Pedro is a strong favourite at 86% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 47 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Pedro has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 33 points.

Pedro has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Pedro's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Safarov has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Pedro
Safarov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
79"+
Reach
78"
34+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pedro
Safarov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.6
8.8
56.6
Performance Avg
25.0
58
Quality of Victory
25
65
Momentum Score
22
Pedro
Safarov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.4
60%
Strike Accuracy
45%
7.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
6
2
Body
1
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
10Distance4
2Clinch3
0Ground1
Pedro
Safarov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.7
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pedro
Safarov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
54
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/15 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Pedro
Safarov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
22
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
Pedro
Safarov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pedro
Safarov
Striking7.8 / 0.5Volume1.1 / 8.5Grappling2.7 / 2.4Wrestling1.9 / 1.7Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure8.6 / 0.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
1.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
Pedro
Strike Zones
Safarov
Pedro
Attacking
6HEAD2BODY4LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD1BODY1LEGS8 absorbed
Safarov
Attacking
6HEAD1BODY1LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD2BODY4LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pedro targets the head (50% of attacks) — Safarov absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Safarov targets the head (75% of attacks) — Pedro absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pedro
RND
Safarov
0/0R00/0

Pedro · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.9W5.7W5.5L5.0W2.1L4.0L5.0W5.0W6.3L5.0W6.6L2016-112018-022022-042023-092024-03
WinLossTrend

Safarov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.2
0102.8L2.5L4.5W2.8L2016-122018-022019-032020-03
WinLossTrend

Pedro · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Vitor PetrinoRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
W · KO · R1
Anton TurkaljRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Modestas BukauskasRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
W · KO · R1
Harry HunsuckerRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
W · KO · R1
Ike VillanuevaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04

Safarov · Last 4

L · Sub · R1
Rodolfo VieiraRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · 2020-03
W · Dec · R3
Nicolae NegumereanuRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · 2019-03
L · Sub · R1
Tyson PedroRating 2.5
Submission
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
L · KO · R2
Gian VillanteRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · 2016-12

News & Media

Tyson Pedro · Saparbeg Safarov
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