METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez
Las Vegas, USA
8 Jul 2023
Lightweight
VS
55%
Turner
45%
Hooker
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Dan HookerwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jalin Turner · UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Turner
→
Actual result
Hooker wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Turner at 55% vs Hooker at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Turner has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
Turner's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hooker has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TurnerHooker
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Turner
Hooker
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
77"+
Reach
75"
31+
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Turner
Hooker
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.4
51.8
57.8
Performance Avg
49.4
56
Quality of Victory
45
85
Momentum Score
78
Turner
Hooker
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.9
/ 10
6.1
/ 10
8.8
Style: Pressure
6.2
1.2
Style: Volume
4.0
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
7 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
34
8
Body
8
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
23Distance27
5Clinch10
4Ground6
Turner
Hooker
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.7
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
1.4
3
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Turner
Hooker
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
5
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/24 fights
Chin rating based on
25/38 fights
Turner
Hooker
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
78
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Turner
Hooker
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
64%
6
KO / TKO Wins
7
3
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Turner
Hooker
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
8.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
1.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
TurnerHooker
Strike Zones
Turner
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
43 absorbedHooker
Attacking
43 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Turner targets the head (75% of attacks) — Hooker absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Hooker targets the head (79% of attacks) — Turner absorbs 79% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Turner
RND
Hooker
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Turner · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Kaue FernandesKO/TKO
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08
W · KO · R1
Edson BarbozaKO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Sub · R1
Ignacio BahamondesSubmission
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · KO · R2
Renato MoicanoKO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R1
King GreenKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
Hooker · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Salahdine ParnasseKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · 2026-09
L · KO · R2
Benoit Saint DenisKO/TKO
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
L · Sub · R2
Arman TsarukyanSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Mateusz GamrotDecision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Jalin TurnerDecision
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07