UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev
Las Vegas, USA
12 Mar 2022
Bantamweight
VS
45%
Jones
55%
Basharat
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Basharat
This is a genuine toss-up — Jones at 45% vs Basharat at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jones has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 30 points.
Basharat has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Jones
Basharat
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'9"
70"+
Reach
69"
35
Age
+30
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Jones
Basharat
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.1
43.5
41.0
Performance Avg
41.7
55
Quality of Victory
25
26
Momentum Score
60
Jones
Basharat
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.9
38%
Strike Accuracy
51%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
19
3
Body
8
7
Leg
4
RangeRange
24Distance29
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Jones
Basharat
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jones
Basharat
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/23 fights
Chin rating based on
7/17 fights
Jones
Basharat
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
60
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Jones
Basharat
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jones
Basharat
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.0
0.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.3
JonesBasharat
Strike Zones
Jones
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedBasharat
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jones targets the head (58% of attacks) — Basharat absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Basharat targets the head (61% of attacks) — Jones absorbs 61% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jones
RND
Basharat
0/0R00/0
Jones · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.9WinLossTrend
Basharat · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
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L · Dec · R3
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