METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2
Newark, USA
1 Feb 2014
Flyweight
VS
57%
Cariaso
43%
Martinez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Chris CariasowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Danny Martinez · UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cariaso
→
Actual result
Cariaso wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Cariaso at 57% vs Martinez at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Cariaso's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CariasoMartinez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Cariaso
Martinez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'6"
64"
Reach
+67"
45
Age
+41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Cariaso
Martinez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.0
10.7
39.1
Performance Avg
25.0
29
Quality of Victory
25
45
Momentum Score
33
Cariaso
Martinez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
2.6
Style: Pressure
0.8
7.9
Style: Volume
8.5
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
9
5
Body
6
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
25Distance11
4Clinch4
0Ground0
Cariaso
Martinez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cariaso
Martinez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
94
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/25 fights
Chin rating based on
4/29 fights
Cariaso
Martinez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
33
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Cariaso
Martinez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cariaso
Martinez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
7.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
CariasoMartinez
Strike Zones
Cariaso
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedMartinez
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cariaso targets the head (76% of attacks) — Martinez absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Martinez targets the head (60% of attacks) — Cariaso absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cariaso
RND
Martinez
0/0R00/0
Cariaso · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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L · Sub · R2
Demetrious JohnsonSubmission
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso · 2014-09
W · Dec · R3
Louis SmolkaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
Danny MartinezDecision
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · 2014-02
Martinez · Last 4
W · Dec · R3
Richie VaculikDecision
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11
L · Dec · R3
Sirwan KakaiDecision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero · 2015-06
L · Dec · R3
Scott JorgensenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06
L · Dec · R3
Chris CariasoDecision
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · 2014-02