UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2
Newark, USA
1 Feb 2014
Flyweight
VS
57%
Cariaso
43%
Martinez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CC
Chris Cariaso
"Kamikaze"
17 – 8
5'3"64" reachSouthpaw44 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 14
DM
Danny Martinez
"The Gremlin"
21 – 8
Well-Rounded40 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'6"
CFR 11

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Cariaso

This is a genuine toss-up — Cariaso at 57% vs Martinez at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Cariaso has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Cariaso's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Cariaso
Martinez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'6"
64"
Reach
+67"
44
Age
+40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Cariaso
Martinez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.0
10.7
39.1
Performance Avg
25.0
29
Quality of Victory
25
45
Momentum Score
33
Cariaso
Martinez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.8
43%
Strike Accuracy
27%
2.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
9
5
Body
6
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
25Distance11
4Clinch4
0Ground0
Cariaso
Martinez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cariaso
Martinez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
94
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/25 fights
Chin rating based on
4/29 fights
Cariaso
Martinez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
33
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Cariaso
Martinez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cariaso
Martinez
Striking2.5 / 0.5Volume7.9 / 8.5Grappling2.1 / 2.4Wrestling1.4 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure2.6 / 0.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
7.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
Cariaso
Strike Zones
Martinez
Cariaso
Attacking
22HEAD5BODY2LEGS29 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD6BODY0LEGS15 absorbed
Martinez
Attacking
9HEAD6BODY0LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
22HEAD5BODY2LEGS29 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cariaso targets the head (76% of attacks) — Martinez absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Martinez targets the head (60% of attacks) — Cariaso absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cariaso
RND
Martinez
0/0R00/0

Cariaso · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.0L5.5L5.2W4.5W4.5W2.1L7.0L5.5L2011-012012-072014-022015-10
WinLossTrend

Martinez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.5L5.5L5.5L4.5W2014-022014-062015-062015-11
WinLossTrend

Cariaso · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Sergio PettisRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
L · Dec · R3
Henry CejudoRating 7
Decision
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos · 2015-03
L · Sub · R2
Demetrious JohnsonRating 2.1
Submission
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso · 2014-09
W · Dec · R3
Louis SmolkaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
Danny MartinezRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · 2014-02

Martinez · Last 4

W · Dec · R3
Richie VaculikRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11
L · Dec · R3
Sirwan KakaiRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero · 2015-06
L · Dec · R3
Scott JorgensenRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06
L · Dec · R3
Chris CariasoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · 2014-02

News & Media

Chris Cariaso · Danny Martinez
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