METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2
Newark, USA
1 Feb 2014
Flyweight
VS
57%
Cariaso
43%
Martinez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Chris CariasowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Danny Martinez · UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cariaso
→
Actual result
Cariaso wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Cariaso at 57% vs Martinez at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Cariaso has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Cariaso's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CariasoMartinez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Cariaso
Martinez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'6"
64"
Reach
+67"
45
Age
+41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Cariaso
Martinez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.0
10.7
39.1
Performance Avg
25.0
29
Quality of Victory
25
45
Momentum Score
33
Cariaso
Martinez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
0.8
43%
Strike Accuracy
27%
2.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
9
5
Body
6
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
25Distance11
4Clinch4
0Ground0
Cariaso
Martinez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cariaso
Martinez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
94
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/25 fights
Chin rating based on
4/29 fights
Cariaso
Martinez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
33
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Cariaso
Martinez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cariaso
Martinez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
7.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
CariasoMartinez
Strike Zones
Cariaso
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedMartinez
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cariaso targets the head (76% of attacks) — Martinez absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Martinez targets the head (60% of attacks) — Cariaso absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cariaso
RND
Martinez
0/0R00/0
Cariaso · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Martinez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Cariaso · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sergio PettisRating 5.5Decision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
L · Dec · R3
Henry CejudoRating 7Decision
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos · 2015-03
L · Sub · R2
Demetrious JohnsonRating 2.1Submission
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso · 2014-09
W · Dec · R3
Louis SmolkaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
Danny MartinezRating 4.5Decision
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · 2014-02
Martinez · Last 4
W · Dec · R3
Richie VaculikRating 4.5Decision
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11
L · Dec · R3
Sirwan KakaiRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero · 2015-06
L · Dec · R3
Scott JorgensenRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06
L · Dec · R3
Chris CariasoRating 5.5Decision
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · 2014-02