METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 101: Declaration
Philadelphia, USA
8 Aug 2009
Lightweight
VS
50%
Pellegrino
50%
Neer
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Kurt PellegrinowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Josh Neer · UFC 101: Declaration
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pellegrino
→
Actual result
Pellegrino wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Pellegrino at 50% vs Neer at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Neer has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Neer has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PellegrinoNeer
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pellegrino
Neer
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
+72"
47
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pellegrino
Neer
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.2
18.1
50.1
Performance Avg
39.5
45
Quality of Victory
39
48
Momentum Score
100
Pellegrino
Neer
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
1.3
42%
Strike Accuracy
50%
2.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
13
2
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch6
4Ground7
Pellegrino
Neer
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
5.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.8
3.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pellegrino
Neer
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
32
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
3
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/23 fights
Chin rating based on
15/52 fights
Pellegrino
Neer
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
48
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · R2
Pellegrino
Neer
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
3
2
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pellegrino
Neer
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.8
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.4
5.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
PellegrinoNeer
Strike Zones
Pellegrino
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedNeer
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pellegrino targets the head (67% of attacks) — Neer absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Neer targets the head (87% of attacks) — Pellegrino absorbs 87% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pellegrino
RND
Neer
0/0R00/0
Pellegrino · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Neer · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Pellegrino · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gleison TibauRating 5.5Decision
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones · 2011-03
L · Dec · R3
George SotiropoulosRating 5.5Decision
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
W · Sub · R2
Fabricio CamoesRating 5.2Submission
UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy · 2010-03
W · Dec · R3
Josh NeerRating 4.5Decision
UFC 101: Declaration · 2009-08
W · Sub · R2
Rob EmersonRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lauzon vs Stephens · 2009-02
Neer · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Court McGeeRating 5.7Decision
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
L · Sub · R1
Justin EdwardsRating 1.5Submission
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
L · KO · R1
Mike PyleRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · 2012-06
W · Sub · R1
Duane LudwigRating 5Submission
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
W · R2
Keith WisniewskiRating 4.2UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10