UFC 101: Declaration
Philadelphia, USA
8 Aug 2009
Lightweight
VS
50%
Pellegrino
50%
Neer
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
KP
Kurt Pellegrino
"Batman"
16 – 7
5'8"70" reachOrthodox47 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 18
JN
Josh Neer
"The Dentist"
36 – 16
Well-Rounded3-fight slide43 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'11"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Pellegrino

This is a genuine toss-up — Pellegrino at 50% vs Neer at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Neer has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Neer has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Pellegrino
Neer
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
+72"
47
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pellegrino
Neer
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.2
18.1
50.1
Performance Avg
39.5
45
Quality of Victory
39
48
Momentum Score
100
Pellegrino
Neer
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.3
42%
Strike Accuracy
50%
2.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
13
2
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch6
4Ground7
Pellegrino
Neer
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
5.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.8
3.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pellegrino
Neer
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
32
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
3
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/23 fights
Chin rating based on
15/52 fights
Pellegrino
Neer
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
48
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · R2
Pellegrino
Neer
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
3
2
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pellegrino
Neer
Striking2.6 / 0.8Volume3.5 / 3.5Grappling5.3 / 4.8Wrestling3.7 / 3.4Submission5.7 / 5.0Pressure6.8 / 4.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.8
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.4
5.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
Pellegrino
Strike Zones
Neer
Pellegrino
Attacking
4HEAD2BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD2BODY0LEGS15 absorbed
Neer
Attacking
13HEAD2BODY0LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD2BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pellegrino targets the head (67% of attacks) — Neer absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Neer targets the head (87% of attacks) — Pellegrino absorbs 87% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pellegrino
RND
Neer
0/0R00/0

Pellegrino · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.0L5.0W5.0W5.5L5.2W2.8L4.5W5.2W4.5W5.2W5.5L5.5L2006-072007-082008-092010-032011-03
WinLossTrend

Neer · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0101.5L5.0W4.5W5.5L4.0L4.5W5.5L5.2W5.5L5.5L4.2W5.0W1.5L1.5L5.7L2005-082006-082009-082012-062013-02
WinLossTrend

Pellegrino · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Gleison TibauRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones · 2011-03
L · Dec · R3
George SotiropoulosRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
W · Sub · R2
Fabricio CamoesRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy · 2010-03
W · Dec · R3
Josh NeerRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 101: Declaration · 2009-08
W · Sub · R2
Rob EmersonRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lauzon vs Stephens · 2009-02

Neer · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Court McGeeRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
L · Sub · R1
Justin EdwardsRating 1.5
Submission
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
L · KO · R1
Mike PyleRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · 2012-06
W · Sub · R1
Duane LudwigRating 5
Submission
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
W · R2
Keith WisniewskiRating 4.2
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10

News & Media

Kurt Pellegrino · Josh Neer
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