UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowboy
Pittsburgh, USA
21 Feb 2016
Lightweight
VS
74%
Krause
26%
Campbell
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Krause
Krause is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Krause has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Striking split: Krause throws more volume but Campbell connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Campbell has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Krause
Campbell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
73"+
Reach
71"
39
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Krause
Campbell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.6
7.5
52.0
Performance Avg
23.0
40
Quality of Victory
25
97
Momentum Score
15
Krause
Campbell
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
2.1
49%
Strike Accuracy
56%
4.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
19
2
Body
9
1
Leg
6
RangeRange
11Distance23
1Clinch1
0Ground10
Krause
Campbell
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Krause
Campbell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
42
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
11 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/37 fights
Chin rating based on
5/20 fights
Krause
Campbell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
97
15
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Krause
Campbell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
56%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Krause
Campbell
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.6
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.4
KrauseCampbell
Strike Zones
Krause
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedCampbell
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Krause targets the head (75% of attacks) — Campbell absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Campbell targets the head (56% of attacks) — Krause absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Krause
RND
Campbell
0/0R00/0
Krause · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Campbell · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.2WinLossTrend
Krause · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Claudio SilvaRating 4.5Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Trevin GilesRating 5.7Decision
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · 2020-02
W · KO · R3
Sergio MoraesRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
W · KO · R2
Warlley AlvesRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · Dec · R3
Alex WhiteRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi · 2018-01
Campbell · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Felipe SilvaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit · 2016-08
L · Sub · R2
Erik KochRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
L · Dec · R3
James KrauseRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowboy · 2016-02
W · Dec · R3
Elias SilverioRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
L · KO · R1
John MakdessiRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04