METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
18 Jul 2020
Lightweight
VS
27%
Duffy
73%
Alvarez
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:25
★ Official Result
Joel AlvarezwinsSubmissionR1 · 2:25
def. Joe Duffy · UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Alvarez
→
Actual result
Alvarez wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Alvarez is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Duffy's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Alvarez has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DuffyAlvarez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Duffy
Alvarez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'3"
73"
Reach
+77"
38
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Duffy
Alvarez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.7
59.3
49.0
Performance Avg
57.2
48
Quality of Victory
51
100
Momentum Score
59
Duffy
Alvarez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
6.3
/ 10
6.8
Style: Pressure
8.1
3.0
Style: Volume
2.3
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
7
4
Body
3
4
Leg
8
RangeRange
14Distance18
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Duffy
Alvarez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.6
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
3.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.3
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.8
2
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Duffy
Alvarez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
62
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/21 fights
Chin rating based on
12/27 fights
Duffy
Alvarez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
59
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Duffy
Alvarez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
88%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
3
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Duffy
Alvarez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.3
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.1
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.3
DuffyAlvarez
Strike Zones
Duffy
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedAlvarez
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Duffy targets the head (43% of attacks) — Alvarez absorbs 43% of strikes there
🎯Alvarez targets the legs (44% of attacks) — Duffy absorbs 44% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Duffy
RND
Alvarez
0/0R00/0
Duffy · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Joel AlvarezSubmission
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W · Dec · R3
Reza MadadiDecision
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Mitch ClarkeSubmission
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L · Dec · R3
Chidi NjokuaniDecision
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Yaroslav AmosovSubmission
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