UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos
Wichita, USA
9 Mar 2019
Heavyweight
VS
88%
Greene
12%
Hughes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Greene
Greene is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Greene has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 46 points.
Hughes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Greene's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Greene
Hughes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'7"+
Height
6'2"
80"+
Reach
77"
39
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Greene
Hughes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.5
2.4
47.6
Performance Avg
0.0
46
Quality of Victory
0
53
Momentum Score
0
Greene
Hughes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.5
45%
Strike Accuracy
51%
3.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
17
2
Body
0
6
Leg
4
RangeRange
18Distance21
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Greene
Hughes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Greene
Hughes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
84
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/16 fights
Chin rating based on
4/14 fights
Greene
Hughes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
Greene
Hughes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Greene
Hughes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
GreeneHughes
Strike Zones
Greene
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedHughes
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Greene targets the head (56% of attacks) — Hughes absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Hughes targets the head (81% of attacks) — Greene absorbs 81% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Greene
RND
Hughes
0/0R00/0
Greene · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Hughes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Greene · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 6.1Decision
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L · Sub · R1
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Upcoming
Todd DuffeeUFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09
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