UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz
Birmingham, United Kingdom
5 Nov 2011
Heavyweight
VS
56%
Broughton
44%
Fries
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Broughton
This is a genuine toss-up — Broughton at 56% vs Fries at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Fries throws more volume but Broughton connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Fries has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Broughton
Fries
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'5"
74"
Reach
+79"
43
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Broughton
Fries
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.5
13.9
40.3
Performance Avg
38.3
45
Quality of Victory
37
43
Momentum Score
43
Broughton
Fries
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
1.5
71%
Strike Accuracy
47%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
6
4
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance3
1Clinch0
3Ground3
Broughton
Fries
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
8.0
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Broughton
Fries
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
34
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/23 fights
Chin rating based on
5/18 fights
Broughton
Fries
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
43
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Broughton
Fries
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Broughton
Fries
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
BroughtonFries
Strike Zones
Broughton
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedFries
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Broughton targets the body (67% of attacks) — Fries absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Fries targets the head (100% of attacks) — Broughton absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Broughton
RND
Fries
0/0R00/0
Broughton · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Fries · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.1WinLossTrend
Broughton · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Philip De FriesRating 5.5Decision
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz · 2011-11
L · Dec · R3
Travis BrowneRating 5.5Decision
UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage · 2011-09
W · Sub · R3
Vinicius QueirozRating 5.5Submission
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama · 2010-10
Fries · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Matt MitrioneRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Latifi · 2013-04
L · KO · R1
Todd DuffeeRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12
W · Sub · R2
Oli ThompsonRating 5.2Submission
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera · 2012-08
L · KO · R1
Stipe MiocicRating 2.6KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Ellenberger · 2012-02
W · Dec · R3
Rob BroughtonRating 4.5Decision
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz · 2011-11