UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot
Las Vegas, USA
23 Sept 2023
Bantamweight
VS
43%
Argueta
57%
Johns
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Johns
This is a genuine toss-up — Argueta at 43% vs Johns at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Argueta has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Johns has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Argueta
Johns
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
68"
Reach
68"
32
Age
32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Argueta
Johns
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.7
34.7
25.0
Performance Avg
41.8
25
Quality of Victory
33
28
Momentum Score
10
Argueta
Johns
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.1
42%
Strike Accuracy
40%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
14
4
Body
2
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
9Distance20
0Clinch0
5Ground1
Argueta
Johns
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Argueta
Johns
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
50
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
10 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/12 fights
Chin rating based on
12/20 fights
Argueta
Johns
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
10
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Argueta
Johns
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Argueta
Johns
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.0
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.4
ArguetaJohns
Strike Zones
Argueta
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedJohns
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Argueta targets the head (64% of attacks) — Johns absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Johns targets the head (67% of attacks) — Argueta absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Argueta
RND
Johns
0/0R00/0
Argueta · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Johns · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Argueta · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Cody HaddonRating 6.8Decision
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