UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento
St. Louis, USA
11 May 2024
Welterweight
VS
45%
Buckley
55%
Ruziboev
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Joaquin
Joaquin Buckley
"New Mansa"
21 – 8
5'10"76" reachSouthpaw32 yrs2-fight slideStriker
CFR 58
Nursulton
Nursulton Ruziboev
"Black"
36 – 9
Knockout Artist2-fight win streak32 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'5"
CFR 72

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Ruziboev

This is a genuine toss-up — Buckley at 45% vs Ruziboev at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Buckley throws more volume but Ruziboev connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Buckley's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Buckley
Ruziboev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'5"
76"
Reach
76"
32
Age
32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Buckley
Ruziboev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
58.0
72.1
50.6
Performance Avg
62.0
41
Quality of Victory
50
100
Momentum Score
100
Buckley
Ruziboev
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
0.9
41%
Strike Accuracy
47%
6.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.1
6 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
57
Head
10
7
Body
5
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance8
0Clinch1
60Ground7
Buckley
Ruziboev
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
0.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Buckley
Ruziboev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
98
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/29 fights
Chin rating based on
6/45 fights
Buckley
Ruziboev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Buckley
Ruziboev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
75%
6
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Buckley
Ruziboev
Striking6.8 / 9.1Volume3.5 / 3.6Grappling0.7 / 0.6Wrestling0.5 / 0.4Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.8 / 7.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.1
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.6
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.7
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
Buckley
Strike Zones
Ruziboev
Buckley
Attacking
57HEAD7BODY0LEGS64 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD5BODY1LEGS16 absorbed
Ruziboev
Attacking
10HEAD5BODY1LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
57HEAD7BODY0LEGS64 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Buckley targets the head (89% of attacks) — Ruziboev absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Ruziboev targets the head (63% of attacks) — Buckley absorbs 63% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Buckley
RND
Ruziboev
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Buckley · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0104.6L5.2W5.2W1.5L5.5W6.0W4.2W6.9L3.5L5.2W4.5W6.7W6.4W6.1W5.6W6.6L6.6L2020-082022-022023-102025-062026-05
WinLossTrend

Ruziboev · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0106.6W5.0W6.7L5.2W4.5W2023-072024-032024-052025-022025-05
WinLossTrend

Buckley · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Sean BradyRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · R3
Colby CovingtonRating 5.6
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · KO · R3
Stephen ThompsonRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Nursulton RuziboevRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05

Ruziboev · Last 5

Upcoming
Andrey Pulyaev
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Dustin StoltzfusRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
W · KO · R2
Eric McConicoRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Joaquin BuckleyRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
W · KO · R1
Sedriques DumasRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03

News & Media

Joaquin Buckley · Nursulton Ruziboev
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