UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le
Macau, China
10 Nov 2012
Flyweight
VS
9%
Urushitani
91%
Lineker
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Lineker
Lineker is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Lineker has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 43 points.
Striking split: Lineker throws more volume but Urushitani connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Urushitani
Lineker
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'3"
Reach
67"
49
Age
+35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Urushitani
Lineker
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.1
21.8
0.0
Performance Avg
56.0
0
Quality of Victory
43
0
Momentum Score
83
Urushitani
Lineker
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
2.4
53%
Strike Accuracy
42%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
22
6
Body
10
7
Leg
3
RangeRange
27Distance32
0Clinch1
0Ground2
Urushitani
Lineker
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.8
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Urushitani
Lineker
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
82
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/29 fights
Chin rating based on
16/40 fights
Urushitani
Lineker
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
83
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
Urushitani
Lineker
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
58%
0
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Urushitani
Lineker
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.5
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.8
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
UrushitaniLineker
Strike Zones
Urushitani
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
35 absorbedLineker
Attacking
35 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Urushitani targets the head (52% of attacks) — Lineker absorbs 52% of strikes there
🎯Lineker targets the head (63% of attacks) — Urushitani absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Urushitani
RND
Lineker
0/0R00/0
Urushitani · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Lineker · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Urushitani · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
John LinekerRating 5.5Decision
UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le · 2012-11
L · KO · R2
Joseph BenavidezRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann · 2012-03
Lineker · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Cory SandhagenRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
W · KO · R3
Brian KelleherRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Marlon VeraRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · 2017-10
L · Dec · R3
TJ DillashawRating 5.6Decision
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
W · Dec · R5
John DodsonRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10