UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve
Rotterdam, Netherlands
2 Sept 2017
Lightweight
VS
63%
Gouti
37%
Holbrook
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:28
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Gouti
Gouti holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Holbrook has real paths to victory.
Key angles
Gouti has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.
Striking split: Gouti throws more volume but Holbrook connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Gouti's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Holbrook has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Gouti
Holbrook
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
72"+
Reach
70"
39+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Gouti
Holbrook
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.4
9.5
42.7
Performance Avg
31.0
60
Quality of Victory
25
33
Momentum Score
25
Gouti
Holbrook
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.1
35%
Strike Accuracy
44%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
37
Head
14
3
Body
6
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
24Distance19
13Clinch3
4Ground0
Gouti
Holbrook
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Gouti
Holbrook
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
34
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/17 fights
Chin rating based on
5/15 fights
Gouti
Holbrook
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
25
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Gouti
Holbrook
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gouti
Holbrook
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.2
0.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.8
GoutiHolbrook
Strike Zones
Gouti
Attacking
41 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedHolbrook
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
41 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gouti targets the head (90% of attacks) — Holbrook absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Holbrook targets the head (64% of attacks) — Gouti absorbs 64% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gouti
RND
Holbrook
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Gouti · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Holbrook · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.0WinLossTrend
Gouti · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Nasrat HaqparastRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
L · Dec · R3
Sage NorthcuttRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02
W · KO · R1
Andrew HolbrookRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve · 2017-09
L · KO · R1
Chad LapriseRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit · 2016-08
L · Sub · R3
Olivier Aubin-MercierRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
Holbrook · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Thibault GoutiRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve · 2017-09
L · KO · R1
Gregor GillespieRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04
W · Dec · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
L · KO · R1
Joaquim SilvaRating 2.1KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale · 2016-07
W · Dec · R3
Ramsey NijemRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07