METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes
Utica, USA
1 Jun 2018
Welterweight
VS
50%
Ellenberger
50%
Saunders
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:56
★ Official Result
Ben SaunderswinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:56
def. Jake Ellenberger · UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ellenberger
→
Actual result
Saunders wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Ellenberger at 50% vs Saunders at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Ellenberger's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Saunders has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
EllenbergerSaunders
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ellenberger
Saunders
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'2"
71"
Reach
+77"
41+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ellenberger
Saunders
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.7
15.6
45.7
Performance Avg
46.4
45
Quality of Victory
46
56
Momentum Score
50
Ellenberger
Saunders
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.0
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
5.6
Style: Pressure
6.1
3.4
Style: Volume
3.6
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
7
1
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
4Clinch7
0Ground2
Ellenberger
Saunders
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.4
1.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
1
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ellenberger
Saunders
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
4 consec. KOs
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
7
KO/TKO Losses
7
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.9 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/46 fights
Chin rating based on
19/35 fights
Ellenberger
Saunders
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
50
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Ellenberger
Saunders
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
67%
5
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
3
4
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ellenberger
Saunders
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
1.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
EllenbergerSaunders
Strike Zones
Ellenberger
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedSaunders
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ellenberger targets the head (80% of attacks) — Saunders absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Saunders targets the head (70% of attacks) — Ellenberger absorbs 70% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ellenberger
RND
Saunders
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Ellenberger · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Bryan BarberenaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
L · KO · R1
Ben SaundersKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
L · KO · R2
Mike PerryKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
L · KO · R1
Jorge MasvidalKO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale · 2016-12
W · KO · R1
Matt BrownKO/TKO
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley · 2016-07
Saunders · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Matt BrownKO/TKO
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
L · KO · R2
Takashi SatoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
L · KO · R1
Lyman GoodKO/TKO
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
L · Sub · R2
Sergio MoraesSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
W · KO · R1
Jake EllenbergerKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06