UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
Anaheim, USA
17 Feb 2024
Women's Flyweight
VS
45%
Lee
55%
Maverick
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Maverick
This is a genuine toss-up — Lee at 45% vs Maverick at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Lee throws more volume but Maverick connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Lee
Maverick
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'3"
69"+
Reach
65"
37
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Lee
Maverick
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.1
51.8
35.8
Performance Avg
45.4
36
Quality of Victory
31
53
Momentum Score
73
Lee
Maverick
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.3
45%
Strike Accuracy
47%
2.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
8
6
Body
7
3
Leg
4
RangeRange
14Distance16
0Clinch3
1Ground0
Lee
Maverick
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lee
Maverick
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
92
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/24 fights
Chin rating based on
12/23 fights
Lee
Maverick
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
73
6-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Lee
Maverick
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
25%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lee
Maverick
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
LeeMaverick
Strike Zones
Lee
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedMaverick
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lee targets the head (40% of attacks) — Maverick absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Maverick targets the head (42% of attacks) — Lee absorbs 42% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lee
RND
Maverick
0/0R00/0
Lee · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Maverick · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Lee · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
JJ AldrichRating 6.1Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Montana De La RosaRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Miranda MaverickRating 6.3Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
L · Dec · R3
Maycee BarberRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · 2023-03
Maverick · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rose NamajunasRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Jamey-Lyn HorthRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Dione BarbosaRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Andrea LeeRating 4.9Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
W · Sub · R3
Priscila CachoeiraRating 6.5Submission
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07

