UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio
Glasgow, United Kingdom
16 Jul 2017
Women's Strawweight
VS
56%
Wood
44%
Calvillo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Wood
This is a genuine toss-up — Wood at 56% vs Calvillo at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Wood has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Wood's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Calvillo has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Wood
Calvillo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'4"
65"+
Reach
64"
40
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Wood
Calvillo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.5
29.8
39.8
Performance Avg
42.8
31
Quality of Victory
38
68
Momentum Score
25
Wood
Calvillo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.3
2.1
53%
Strike Accuracy
42%
2.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
8
7
Body
8
7
Leg
3
RangeRange
23Distance16
2Clinch2
0Ground1
Wood
Calvillo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
1.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Wood
Calvillo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
48
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
5
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/25 fights
Chin rating based on
13/15 fights
Wood
Calvillo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
68
25
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Wood
Calvillo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
22%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
3
7
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Wood
Calvillo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
3.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
WoodCalvillo
Strike Zones
Wood
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedCalvillo
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Wood targets the head (44% of attacks) — Calvillo absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Calvillo targets the head (42% of attacks) — Wood absorbs 42% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Wood
RND
Calvillo
0/0R00/0
Wood · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Calvillo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Wood · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Maryna MorozRating 5.1Decision
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L · Sub · R1
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Calvillo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezRating 6Decision
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Nina NunesRating 5.5Decision
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Andrea LeeRating 3.2KO/TKO
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