UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje
Philadelphia, USA
30 Mar 2019
Lightweight
VS
52%
Pearson
48%
Green
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:52
RP
Ross Pearson
"The Real Deal"
20 – 16
5'8"69" reachOrthodox41 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 17
DG
Desmond Green
"The Predator"
23 – 8
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak36 yrsSouthpaw73" reach5'10"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Pearson

This is a genuine toss-up — Pearson at 52% vs Green at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Pearson throws more volume but Green connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Pearson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Pearson
Green
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
69"
Reach
+73"
41
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Pearson
Green
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.0
15.6
44.3
Performance Avg
43.1
42
Quality of Victory
34
89
Momentum Score
41
Pearson
Green
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.4
44%
Strike Accuracy
46%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
17
4
Body
6
7
Leg
2
RangeRange
12Distance10
0Clinch1
0Ground14
Pearson
Green
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.4
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pearson
Green
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
94
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/36 fights
Chin rating based on
7/31 fights
Pearson
Green
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
41
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Pearson
Green
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
25%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pearson
Green
Striking4.3 / 3.6Volume5.6 / 7.1Grappling1.4 / 1.8Wrestling1.0 / 1.3Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.8 / 3.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
Pearson
Strike Zones
Green
Pearson
Attacking
1HEAD4BODY7LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD6BODY2LEGS25 absorbed
Green
Attacking
17HEAD6BODY2LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD4BODY7LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pearson targets the legs (58% of attacks) — Green absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Green targets the head (68% of attacks) — Pearson absorbs 68% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pearson
RND
Green
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Pearson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.5W4.2W4.5W2.8L4.5W6.0L4.5W3.3L5.2W5.2W5.5L5.2W2.8L5.2W5.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.5L5.5L3.6L4.5W5.5L1.5L2009-062012-062015-072017-062019-03
WinLossTrend

Green · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.6W5.5L5.5L4.5W5.5L5.0W5.3W2017-042018-022018-092019-05
WinLossTrend

Pearson · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Desmond GreenRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 2019-03
L · Dec · R3
John MakdessiRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Mizuto HirotaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
L · KO · R2
Dan HookerRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Stevie RayRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11

Green · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Charles JourdainRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
W · KO · R1
Ross PearsonRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 2019-03
L · Dec · R3
Mairbek TaisumovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09
W · Dec · R3
Gleison TibauRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Michel PrazeresRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02

News & Media

Ross Pearson · Desmond Green
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