UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee
San Diego, USA
15 Jul 2015
Lightweight
VS
65%
Lee
35%
Moontasri
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:56
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Lee
Lee holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Moontasri has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Moontasri has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Lee has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Lee's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lee
Moontasri
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
77"+
Reach
71"
33+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Lee
Moontasri
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.2
19.2
48.3
Performance Avg
46.2
42
Quality of Victory
55
53
Momentum Score
52
Lee
Moontasri
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.8
42%
Strike Accuracy
41%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
1
5
Body
1
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
8Distance6
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Lee
Moontasri
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.0
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lee
Moontasri
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
82
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
13 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/26 fights
Chin rating based on
6/14 fights
Lee
Moontasri
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
52
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R4
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Lee
Moontasri
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lee
Moontasri
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
3.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
LeeMoontasri
Strike Zones
Lee
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedMoontasri
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lee targets the body (56% of attacks) — Moontasri absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Moontasri targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Lee absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lee
RND
Moontasri
0/0R00/0
Lee · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Moontasri · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Lee · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Rinat FakhretdinovRating 3.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · Sub · R3
Charles OliveiraRating 4.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · KO · R1
Gregor GillespieRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
L · Sub · R4
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 3.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
Moontasri · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Alex OliveiraRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko · 2016-07
W · KO · R1
Anton ZafirRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11
L · Sub · R1
Kevin LeeRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
W · Sub · R2
Cody PfisterRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02