METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady
Las Vegas, USA
7 Sept 2024
Lightweight
VS
38%
62%
Padilla
Win Probability
★ Official Result
Chris PadillawinsR2 · 4:14
def. Rongzhu · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Padilla
→
Actual result
Padilla wins
Pre-fight analysis
Padilla holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
Padilla
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Padilla
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
72"
Reach
+74"
26+
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Padilla
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.3
72.0
40.0
Performance Avg
64.8
33
Quality of Victory
41
50
Momentum Score
100
Padilla
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
3.8
Style: Pressure
7.2
6.3
Style: Volume
3.6
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
20
8
Body
4
3
Leg
9
RangeRange
16Distance27
6Clinch6
0Ground0
Padilla
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
3.7
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
4.0
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Padilla
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
100
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/33 fights
Chin rating based on
6/23 fights
Padilla
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
100
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
5-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · R2
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R3
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
Padilla
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
60%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Padilla
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.2
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
Strike Zones
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedPadilla
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯 targets the head (50% of attacks) — Padilla absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Padilla targets the head (61% of attacks) — absorbs 61% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
RND
Padilla
0/0R00/0
· Last 5
Upcoming
Rafa GarciaNoche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado · 2026-09
W · Dec · R3
Austin HubbardDecision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Kody SteeleDecision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
L · R2
Chris PadillaUFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
L · Sub · R3
Ignacio BahamondesSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green · 2022-02
Padilla · Last 5
W · Sub · R3
Nasrat HaqparastSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · 2026-08
Upcoming
MarQuel MederosDecision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R2
Ismael BonfimKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Jai HerbertDecision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · R2
RongzhuUFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09