UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady
Las Vegas, USA
7 Sept 2024
Lightweight
VS
38%
62%
Padilla
Win Probability
Rongzhu
Rongzhu
27 – 6
5'9"72" reachOrthodox26 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 44
Chris
Chris Padilla
"Taco"
17 – 6
Well-Rounded4-fight win streak30 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'9"
CFR 71

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Padilla

Padilla holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Padilla has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Padilla
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
72"
Reach
+74"
26+
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Padilla
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.3
70.9
40.0
Performance Avg
64.2
33
Quality of Victory
40
50
Momentum Score
100
Padilla
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
3.2
53%
Strike Accuracy
54%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
20
8
Body
4
3
Leg
9
RangeRange
16Distance27
6Clinch6
0Ground0
Padilla
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.6
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Padilla
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
100
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/33 fights
Chin rating based on
5/23 fights
Padilla
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
100
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · R2
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
W · Sub · R1
Padilla
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Padilla
Striking4.3 / 4.5Volume6.3 / 4.0Grappling1.6 / 2.6Wrestling1.1 / 1.8Submission0.0 / 2.5Pressure3.8 / 6.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
Strike Zones
Padilla
Attacking
11HEAD8BODY3LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD4BODY9LEGS33 absorbed
Padilla
Attacking
20HEAD4BODY9LEGS33 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD8BODY3LEGS22 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯 targets the head (50% of attacks) — Padilla absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Padilla targets the head (61% of attacks) — absorbs 61% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

RND
Padilla
0/0R00/0

· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.5L5.5W5.3L6.5L5.9W4.5W2021-042021-092022-022024-092025-022025-08
WinLossTrend

Padilla · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.0W4.7W5.2W5.6W2024-042024-092025-032025-11
WinLossTrend

· Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Austin HubbardRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Kody SteeleRating 5.9
Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
L · R2
Chris PadillaRating 6.5
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
L · Sub · R3
Ignacio BahamondesRating 5.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green · 2022-02
W · KO · R3
Brandon JenkinsRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · 2021-09

Padilla · Last 5

Upcoming
MarQuel Mederos
Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R2
Ismael BonfimRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Jai HerbertRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · R2
RongzhuRating 4.7
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · Sub · R1
James LlontopRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04

News & Media

Rongzhu · Chris Padilla
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