The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale
Las Vegas, USA
12 Jul 2015
Middleweight
VS
55%
Samman
45%
Magalhaes
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:52
JS
Josh Samman
"Anqa"
13 – 4
6'3"79" reachOrthodox38 yrs2-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 24
CM
Caio Magalhaes
"Hellboy"
10 – 3
Well-Rounded2-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'1"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Samman

This is a genuine toss-up — Samman at 55% vs Magalhaes at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Magalhaes throws more volume but Samman connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Samman's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Samman
Magalhaes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
79"+
Reach
73"
38
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Samman
Magalhaes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.5
18.9
56.8
Performance Avg
52.0
55
Quality of Victory
49
91
Momentum Score
43
Samman
Magalhaes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.3
56%
Strike Accuracy
43%
7.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
3
3
Body
0
6
Leg
0
RangeRange
12Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Samman
Magalhaes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
1.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Samman
Magalhaes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
84
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/17 fights
Chin rating based on
7/13 fights
Samman
Magalhaes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
43
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Samman
Magalhaes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
75%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Samman
Magalhaes
Striking7.9 / 6.1Volume1.2 / 3.1Grappling2.7 / 2.6Wrestling1.9 / 1.8Submission3.3 / 2.5Pressure8.8 / 7.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
8.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
1.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.1
Samman
Strike Zones
Magalhaes
Samman
Attacking
3HEAD3BODY6LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Magalhaes
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD3BODY6LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Samman targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Magalhaes absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Magalhaes targets the head (100% of attacks) — Samman absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Samman
RND
Magalhaes
0/0R00/0

Samman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.2W5.2W5.0W4.0L2.8L2013-042014-122015-072015-122016-07
WinLossTrend

Magalhaes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.5L5.2W4.5W5.0W5.0W1.5L5.5L2012-062013-122014-112016-09
WinLossTrend

Samman · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Tim BoetschRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker · 2016-07
L · Sub · R3
Tamdan McCroryRating 4
Submission
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 · 2015-12
W · Sub · R1
Caio MagalhaesRating 5
Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale · 2015-07
W · KO · R2
Eddie GordonRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II · 2014-12
W · KO · R2
Kevin CaseyRating 5.2
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jones vs. Team Sonnen Finale · 2013-04

Magalhaes · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem · 2016-09
L · Sub · R1
Josh SammanRating 1.5
Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale · 2015-07
W · KO · R1
Trevor SmithRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs Saint Preux · 2014-11
W · KO · R1
Luke ZachrichRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Werdum vs Browne · 2014-04
W · Dec · R3
Nick RingRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot · 2013-12

News & Media

Josh Samman · Caio Magalhaes
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