UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
21 Oct 2023
Featherweight
VS
46%
Wood
54%
Naimov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Nathaniel
Nathaniel Wood
"The Last Kingsman"
23 – 6
5'6"69" reachOrthodox33 yrs4-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 51
MN
Muhammad Naimov
"Hillman"
13 – 4
Well-Rounded31 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'9"
CFR 59

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Naimov

This is a genuine toss-up — Wood at 46% vs Naimov at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Wood has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Naimov has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Wood
Naimov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'9"
69"
Reach
+70"
33
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Wood
Naimov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.6
59.2
50.2
Performance Avg
51.4
31
Quality of Victory
38
60
Momentum Score
96
Wood
Naimov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
0.6
55%
Strike Accuracy
37%
1.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
32
Head
14
5
Body
3
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
28Distance17
2Clinch2
9Ground0
Wood
Naimov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.4
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Wood
Naimov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
66
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/29 fights
Chin rating based on
7/17 fights
Wood
Naimov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
96
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
Wood
Naimov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
27%
40%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Wood
Naimov
Striking1.6 / 5.4Volume7.4 / 6.2Grappling3.9 / 1.4Wrestling2.8 / 1.0Submission2.7 / 0.0Pressure4.3 / 4.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.9
7.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
Wood
Strike Zones
Naimov
Wood
Attacking
32HEAD5BODY2LEGS39 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD3BODY2LEGS19 absorbed
Naimov
Attacking
14HEAD3BODY2LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
32HEAD5BODY2LEGS39 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Wood targets the head (82% of attacks) — Naimov absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Naimov targets the head (74% of attacks) — Wood absorbs 74% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Wood
RND
Naimov
0/0R00/0

Wood · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.2W5.5W5.2W4.0L5.3W5.5L4.5W5.3W5.2W6.7L5.4W5.7W6.0W4.5W2018-062020-072023-072025-102026-03
WinLossTrend

Naimov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.4W5.3W5.0W5.0L5.1W5.5W6.0L2023-062024-022025-022025-12
WinLossTrend

Wood · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Losene KeitaRating 4.5
Decision
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Jose DelgadoRating 6
Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Morgan CharriereRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Daniel PinedaRating 5.4
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Muhammad NaimovRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10

Naimov · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Mairon SantosRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Bogdan GradRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Kaan OfliRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · Sub · R3
Felipe LimaRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · KO · R1
Erik SilvaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02

News & Media

Nathaniel Wood · Muhammad Naimov
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