UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2
Charlotte, USA
27 Jan 2018
Featherweight
VS
53%
Bektic
47%
Pepey
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:47
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Bektic
This is a genuine toss-up — Bektic at 53% vs Pepey at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Pepey has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Bektic's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pepey has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Bektic
Pepey
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
70"
Reach
+73"
35+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bektic
Pepey
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.0
16.9
48.4
Performance Avg
47.8
41
Quality of Victory
49
84
Momentum Score
46
Bektic
Pepey
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.2
32%
Strike Accuracy
38%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.9
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
2
1
Body
2
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
9Distance4
0Clinch1
3Ground0
Bektic
Pepey
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.3
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Bektic
Pepey
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
28
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/17 fights
Chin rating based on
11/19 fights
Bektic
Pepey
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
46
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Bektic
Pepey
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
80%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bektic
Pepey
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.3
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.7
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.5
BekticPepey
Strike Zones
Bektic
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedPepey
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bektic targets the head (58% of attacks) — Pepey absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Pepey targets the head (40% of attacks) — Bektic absorbs 40% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bektic
RND
Pepey
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Bektic · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Pepey · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Bektic · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Damon JacksonRating 4.3Submission
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L · Dec · R3
Dan IgeRating 6.2Decision
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L · KO · R1
Josh EmmettRating 1.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
W · Dec · R3
Ricardo LamasRating 4.5Decision
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
W · KO · R1
Godofredo PepeyRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01
Pepey · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Mirsad BekticRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01
L · Dec · R3
Shane BurgosRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
W · Sub · R1
Mike de la TorreRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg · 2016-09
L · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6Decision
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko · 2016-07
W · Sub · R1
Andre FiliRating 5.7Submission
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