UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos
Las Vegas, USA
5 Nov 2022
Women's Bantamweight
VS
93%
Vidal
7%
Pascual
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:06
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Vidal
Vidal is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 42 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Vidal has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 60 points.
Pascual has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Vidal's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Vidal
Pascual
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
68"+
Reach
66"
27+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Vidal
Pascual
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.6
3.3
46.0
Performance Avg
0.0
60
Quality of Victory
0
36
Momentum Score
0
Vidal
Pascual
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.4
54%
Strike Accuracy
56%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
3
7
Body
5
4
Leg
5
RangeRange
13Distance10
4Clinch3
0Ground0
Vidal
Pascual
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Vidal
Pascual
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
74
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/11 fights
Chin rating based on
3/11 fights
Vidal
Pascual
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
36
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Vidal
Pascual
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Vidal
Pascual
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
VidalPascual
Strike Zones
Vidal
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedPascual
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Vidal targets the body (41% of attacks) — Pascual absorbs 41% of strikes there
🎯Pascual targets the body (38% of attacks) — Vidal absorbs 38% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Vidal
RND
Pascual
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Vidal · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Pascual · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Vidal · Last 4
L · Sub · R3
Joselyne EdwardsRating 5.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
L · KO · R3
Melissa GattoRating 4.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Montse RendonRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
W · KO · R1
Ramona PascualRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos · 2022-11
Pascual · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Tamires VidalRating 2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos · 2022-11
L · Dec · R3
Joselyne EdwardsRating 6.9Decision
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06
L · Dec · R3
Josiane NunesRating 6.3Decision
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