UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes
Miami, USA
12 Apr 2025
Middleweight
VS
49%
Gore
51%
Tulio
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:16
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Tulio
This is a genuine toss-up — Gore at 49% vs Tulio at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Tulio has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Gore's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Gore
Tulio
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
75"+
Reach
74"
31
Age
31
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Gore
Tulio
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
58.8
61.8
46.8
Performance Avg
54.5
50
Quality of Victory
58
85
Momentum Score
65
Gore
Tulio
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
3.5
44%
Strike Accuracy
56%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
29
2
Body
15
2
Leg
6
RangeRange
4Distance46
0Clinch0
0Ground4
Gore
Tulio
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
8.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Gore
Tulio
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/11 fights
Chin rating based on
4/17 fights
Gore
Tulio
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
65
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Gore
Tulio
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gore
Tulio
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
GoreTulio
Strike Zones
Gore
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
50 absorbedTulio
Attacking
50 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gore targets the body (50% of attacks) — Tulio absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Tulio targets the head (58% of attacks) — Gore absorbs 58% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gore
RND
Tulio
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Gore · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Tulio · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Gore · Last 5
W · Sub · R3
Azamat BekoevRating 6.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Rodolfo VieiraRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · KO · R2
Marco TulioRating 4.1KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Antonio TrocoliRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
W · Sub · R2
Josh FremdRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
Tulio · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Roman KopylovRating 6.5Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · KO · R2
Christian Leroy DuncanRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · KO · R2
Tresean GoreRating 6.4KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · KO · R1
Ihor PotieriaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01

