UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland
Las Vegas, USA
20 Mar 2021
Bantamweight
VS
95%
Jackson
5%
Strader
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:58
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jackson
Jackson is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 50 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jackson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.
Striking split: Strader throws more volume but Jackson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Strader has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Jackson
Strader
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'7"
75"+
Reach
70"
34
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Jackson
Strader
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.4
2.5
51.6
Performance Avg
0.0
40
Quality of Victory
0
48
Momentum Score
0
Jackson
Strader
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.4
55%
Strike Accuracy
42%
4.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
3
2
Body
3
2
Leg
8
RangeRange
5Distance12
3Clinch0
7Ground2
Jackson
Strader
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Jackson
Strader
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
56
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/19 fights
Chin rating based on
2/8 fights
Jackson
Strader
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
48
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
Jackson
Strader
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jackson
Strader
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
JacksonStrader
Strike Zones
Jackson
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedStrader
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jackson targets the head (73% of attacks) — Strader absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Strader targets the legs (57% of attacks) — Jackson absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jackson
RND
Strader
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Jackson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Strader · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.4WinLossTrend
Jackson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Raoni BarcelosRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Daniel MarcosRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · KO · R1
Da'Mon BlackshearRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
W · KO · R1
Rani YahyaRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04
Strader · Last 2
L · KO · R3
Chad AnheligerRating 4.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · 2022-02
L · KO · R1
Montel JacksonRating 2.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland · 2021-03